Newcastle vs Leeds - Football Platform

Premier League

Newcastle

HT: 1–2

Leeds

07 Jan 2026

21:15

St. James' Park

Stadium

St. James' Park

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Capacity: 52758 Surface: grass Address: St. James' Street

Score Summary

Newcastle

4 3

FT HT 1–2

Leeds

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Newcastle 1521 1530 ▲ 9

45% Win

Leeds 1487 1478 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Newcastle 0.41 0.22 ▼ -0.18

29% Win

Leeds 0.09 0.39 ▲ 0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Brenden Aaronson

Leeds

9.2

9.2 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Harvey Barnes

Newcastle

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Guimarães

Newcastle

8.2

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Lewis Miley

Newcastle

7.6

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 57% Leeds 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

18 Shots 14

8 On Target 6

Form Context

Newcastle

W L L L L

Leeds

D D W W D

Smart Insight

Newcastle controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Newcastle generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.3%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 21.7%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.05

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

63 Possession 37

8 Shots 6

18 Shots 14

1 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 5

8 Shots On Goal 6

18 Total Shots 14

63 Ball Possession 37

471 Passes Accurate 256

545 Total Passes 334

86% Passes % 77%

4 Blocked Shots 3

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

11 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

8 Corner Kicks 4

15 Shots Insidebox 12

3 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.44 expected_goals 1.89

-1 goals_prevented -1

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	1	6	-	2	9	2	-	-	False	81	10	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	1	3	-	11	4	-	-	True	90	39	M	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	64	5	72	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Fabian Schär	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	76	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	61	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	2	1
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	4	-	2	12	5	3	1	False	90	11	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	2	-	27	-	33	-	-	0	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	9	23	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	14	41	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	1	4	-	2	20	11	2	2	False	90	7	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	-	33	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	3
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	3	71	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lewis Miley	0	-	1	-	10	8	-	1	False	90	67	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	1	67	-	-	0	-	-	2	1	2	5
👤 Malick Thiaw	1	-	2	-	7	1	3	-	False	45	12	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	37	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	3	3	-	-	17	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	-	1	-	8	5	1	-	False	75	27	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	7	2	9	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	45	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	1	False	45	4	D	6.5	True	1	0	-	-	-	26	1	31	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Valentino Livramento	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	45	21	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	-

Leeds — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Stach	0	2	-	2	8	5	1	-	False	80	18	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	4	26	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Ao Tanaka	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	1	22	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brenden Aaronson	0	3	-	3	14	9	1	-	False	89	11	F	9.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	27	1	35	1	-	0	-	3	3	-	-	4
👤 Dominic Calvert-Lewin	1	2	-	-	15	4	4	1	False	87	9	F	7.5	False	1	0	-	1	-	13	1	17	-	-	1	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Ethan Ampadu	1	-	1	-	16	7	4	2	True	90	4	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Gabriel Gudmundsson	0	2	1	-	6	2	-	1	False	90	3	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	24	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ilia Gruev	0	2	1	2	7	5	-	1	False	89	44	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	2	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Jack Harrison	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaka Bijol	0	-	-	-	10	6	-	-	False	90	15	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 James Justin	0	-	2	-	8	5	-	2	False	90	24	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	21	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Joe Rodon	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	89	6	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Joël Piroe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karl Darlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Perri	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	4	3	-	-	12	-	24	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Nmecha	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	17	14	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Noah Okafor	0	3	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	10	19	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pascal Struijk	0	-	1	-	10	4	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	48	-	-	0	-	-	2	2	2	-
👤 Sam Byram	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sebastiaan Bornauw	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	23	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wilfried Gnonto	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	29	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Leeds

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	4-3	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds	4-3	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Leeds

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.3%

Home Win

26.0%

Draw

21.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.73

Leeds 1.05

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Leeds

St. James' Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)