Newcastle vs Aston Villa - Football Platform

Premier League

Newcastle

HT: 0–1

Aston Villa

19' E. Buendia
88' O. Watkins

25 Jan 2026

15:00

St. James' Park

Stadium

St. James' Park

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Capacity: 52758 Surface: grass Address: St. James' Street

Score Summary

Newcastle

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Aston Villa

19' E. Buendia
88' O. Watkins

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

40% Win

Newcastle 1535 1527 ▼ -8

60% Win

Aston Villa 1605 1613 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Newcastle 0.45 0.22 ▼ -0.23

34% Win

Aston Villa 0.24 0.24 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Emiliano Martínez

Aston Villa

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Emiliano Buendía

Aston Villa

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Lewis Miley

Newcastle

7.0

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Sandro Tonali

Newcastle

7.9

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 33% Aston Villa 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

61 Possession 39

15 Shots 14

4 On Target 8

Form Context

Newcastle

W L L L L

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Smart Insight

Aston Villa carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Aston Villa after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.4%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 25.7%

Expected Goals 1.63 - 1.15

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	0-2	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

61 Possession 39

4 Shots 8

15 Shots 14

2 Offsides 0

4 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 8

15 Total Shots 14

61 Ball Possession 39

447 Passes Accurate 272

519 Total Passes 353

86% Passes % 77%

7 Blocked Shots 2

6 Goalkeeper Saves 4

7 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 5

9 Shots Insidebox 7

6 Shots Outsidebox 7

2.18 expected_goals 1.16

1 goals_prevented 1

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	1	-	1	5	3	-	2	False	27	20	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	63	10	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	2	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dan Burn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	3	-	1	8	2	1	1	False	90	11	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	-	False	42	41	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	28	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	1	-	1	-	12	6	2	3	False	48	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	1	2	-	7	3	-	-	True	90	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	60	1	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Leo Shahar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	4	1	3	15	8	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	2	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Lewis Miley	0	1	2	1	14	9	1	-	False	90	67	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	51	3	59	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	1	-	1	8	5	-	1	False	90	12	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.3	False	0	2	6	-	-	15	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	28	27	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	6	-	5	16	13	1	-	False	84	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	67	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	7
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	-	-	13	9	-	1	False	90	4	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	-	77	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 William Osula	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	-	-	-	8	2	2	1	False	62	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	0	-	1	-	9	5	3	1	False	89	24	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	29	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	1	2	-	8	4	1	-	False	75	10	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	3	4	1	-	4
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	False	90	23	G	8.3	False	0	4	-	-	18	-	48	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Evann Guessand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	2	-	5	2	-	-	True	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 George Hemmings	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Elliott	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	1	1	-	1	8	6	1	1	False	90	22	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	1	2	1	6	2	1	-	False	59	19	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	26	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Bailey	0	2	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	31	31	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lucas Digne	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	15	12	D	7.5	True	1	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	0	-	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Rogers	0	11	1	2	33	12	2	2	False	90	27	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	27	2	34	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	4
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	4	-	2	19	7	-	-	False	90	11	F	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	18	2	23	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	4
👤 Pau Torres	0	1	1	-	8	4	1	-	False	75	14	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	-
👤 Tyrone Mings	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	5	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	3	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Youri Tielemans	0	-	4	-	6	2	-	1	False	74	8	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	25	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	3	2	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Aston Villa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	0-2	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	0-2	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Aston Villa

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.4%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

25.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.63

Aston Villa 1.15

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Aston Villa

St. James' Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)