Brentford vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League

Brentford

HT: 0–1

Nottingham Forest

12' Igor Jesus
79' T. Awoniyi

25 Jan 2026

15:00

Brentford Community Stadium

Stadium

Gtech Community Stadium

Brentford, Middlesex, England

Capacity: 17250 Surface: grass Address: 166 Lionel Rd N, Brentford

Score Summary

Brentford

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Nottingham Forest

12' Igor Jesus
79' T. Awoniyi

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

Brentford 1526 1515 ▼ -11

44% Win

Nottingham Forest 1483 1494 ▲ 11

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Brentford 0.35 0.51 ▲ 0.16

37% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.23 0.22 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Mathias Jensen

Brentford

7.6

7.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Igor Jesus

Nottingham Forest

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Mathias Jensen

Brentford

7.6

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Neco Williams

Nottingham Forest

7.3

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brentford 33% Nottingham Forest 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

66 Possession 34

10 Shots 7

1 On Target 2

Form Context

Brentford

D D D D L

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Nottingham Forest carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Brentford generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Nottingham Forest after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.1%

Draw 27.6%

Away Win 31.3%

Expected Goals 1.50 - 1.28

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

66 Possession 34

1 Shots 2

10 Shots 7

1 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 2

1 Shots On Goal 2

10 Total Shots 7

66 Ball Possession 34

490 Passes Accurate 219

567 Total Passes 295

86% Passes % 74%

3 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

6 Corner Kicks 5

9 Shots Insidebox 5

1 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.81 expected_goals 0.78

0 goals_prevented 0

Brentford — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Hickey	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	23	2	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Caoimhin Kelleher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	2	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dango Ouattara	0	7	2	1	15	5	1	1	False	53	19	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	3	26	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Ethan Pinnock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Thiago	0	1	-	1	7	5	1	1	False	90	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	16	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Jordan Henderson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Keane Lewis-Potter	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	9	23	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Schade	0	3	-	2	19	10	3	1	False	90	7	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Kristoffer Ajer	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	37	20	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Mathias Jensen	0	2	-	2	7	3	1	-	False	90	8	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	3	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Michael Kayode	0	4	1	2	11	5	-	1	False	81	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mikkel Damsgaard	0	1	-	1	4	3	1	1	False	37	24	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nathan Collins	0	-	1	-	9	5	-	-	True	90	22	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	85	-	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Reiss Nelson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Henry	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	67	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Romelle Donovan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sepp van den Berg	0	1	1	1	11	9	-	2	False	53	4	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	65	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	-
👤 Vitaly Janelt	0	-	2	-	7	1	1	-	False	90	27	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Yehor Yarmoliuk	1	-	1	-	10	6	2	2	False	81	18	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Angus Gunn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	2	2	1	9	4	-	1	False	87	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	24	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Dan Ndoye	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dilane Bakwa	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	2	-	1	10	6	1	2	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	49	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	-	1	-	13	6	2	2	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	2
👤 Igor Jesus	2	-	1	20	8	1	-	False	68	19	F	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 James McAtee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	26	G	6.9	False	0	1	-	-	9	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	3	4	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	2	2	2	8	5	1	2	True	90	10	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	15	2	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Murillo	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Neco Williams	3	2	2	13	8	1	1	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	1	1	-	12	5	2	1	False	61	16	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Nicolò Savona	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Milenković	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	31	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ola Aina	1	1	-	6	1	-	-	False	90	34	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	-
👤 Omari Hutchinson	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	29	21	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ryan Yates	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	2	-	2	5	2	1	-	False	22	9	F	7.6	True	0	-	1	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brentford and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford	0-2	34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	0-2	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brentford and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.1%

Home Win

27.6%

Draw

31.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brentford 1.50

Nottingham Forest 1.28

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brentford

Nottingham Forest

Gtech Community Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)