Arsenal vs Manchester United - Football Platform

Premier League

Arsenal

Coach : F. Ljungberg

HT: 1–1

Manchester United

25 Jan 2026

17:30

Emirates Stadium

Stadium

Emirates Stadium

London, England

Capacity: 60383 Surface: grass Address: Hornsey Road

Score Summary

Arsenal

2 3

FT HT 1–1

Manchester United

L. Martinez 29'
M. Merino 84'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

67% Win

Arsenal 1641 1628 ▼ -13

33% Win

Manchester United 1518 1531 ▲ 13

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

Arsenal 1.09 0.94 ▼ -0.15

30% Win

Manchester United 0.51 0.31 ▼ -0.20

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matheus Cunha

Manchester United

8.2

8.2 rating · 21 min

Most Clinical

Mikel Merino

Arsenal

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Declan Rice

Arsenal

7.5

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Luke Shaw

Manchester United

6.2

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arsenal 57% Manchester United 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

15 Shots 10

4 On Target 3

Form Context

Arsenal

W W L L W

Manchester United

W D L W W

Smart Insight

Arsenal controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Arsenal generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Manchester United after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 50.8%

Draw 26.3%

Away Win 22.9%

Expected Goals 1.70 - 1.08

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	2-3	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-3	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

56 Possession 44

4 Shots 3

15 Shots 10

3 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 10

56 Ball Possession 44

371 Passes Accurate 289

443 Total Passes 364

84% Passes % 79%

6 Blocked Shots 2

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

11 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

9 Corner Kicks 2

9 Shots Insidebox 3

6 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.19 expected_goals 0.71

0 goals_prevented 0

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ben White	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	32	4	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Bukayo Saka	0	5	1	3	12	7	-	4	False	90	7	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	27	3	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raya	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.2	False	0	3	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Declan Rice	1	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	90	41	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	4	63	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Eberechi Eze	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	32	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Gabriel Jesus	0	2	-	1	7	2	2	-	False	58	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	2	12	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	0	-	-	-	8	6	1	-	False	90	6	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jurriën Timber	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	90	12	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	0	1	1	1	5	3	1	2	False	75	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Martin Ødegaard	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	True	58	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Martín Zubimendi	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	-	False	58	36	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	34	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	1
👤 Mikel Merino	0	1	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	32	23	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	2	3	-	3	1
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noni Madueke	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	15	20	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Piero Hincapié	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	58	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	0	-	1	-	6	2	1	1	False	32	14	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 William Saliba	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	-	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	3	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	-	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	88	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ayden Heaven	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	30	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	True	90	8	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	41	2	51	-	-	-	-	3	-	1	2
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	-	2	-	8	1	-	-	False	69	19	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	2	12	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	1
👤 Casemiro	-	-	-	6	2	1	2	False	90	18	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Diogo Dalot	1	-	1	3	2	1	1	False	90	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Maguire	-	-	-	5	5	-	2	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	1	1	-	9	2	-	-	False	90	37	M	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	38	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leny Yoro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lisandro Martínez	2	-	2	10	7	2	1	False	90	6	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Luke Shaw	1	1	1	9	5	2	-	False	90	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Manuel Ugarte	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Cunha	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	21	10	F	8.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Noussair Mazraoui	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Dorgu	-	2	-	14	6	2	1	False	81	13	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Senne Lammens	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	6.6	False	0	2	3	-	-	14	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arsenal and Manchester United

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	2-3	34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-3	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arsenal and Manchester United

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.8%

Home Win

26.3%

Draw

22.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arsenal 1.70

Manchester United 1.08

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arsenal

Manchester United

Emirates Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)