Aston Villa vs Brentford - Football Platform

Premier League

Aston Villa

HT: 0–1

Brentford

45' D. Ouattara

01 Feb 2026

15:00

Villa Park

Stadium

Villa Park

Birmingham, England

Capacity: 42824 Surface: grass Address: Trinity Road

Score Summary

Aston Villa

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Brentford

45' D. Ouattara

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

65% Win

Aston Villa 1620 1607 ▼ -13

35% Win

Brentford 1515 1528 ▲ 13

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Aston Villa 0.13 0.24 ▲ 0.12

45% Win

Brentford 0.40 0.51 ▲ 0.11

Top Performers

Top Rated

Caoimhin Kelleher

Brentford

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Dango Ouattara

Brentford

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Douglas Luiz

Aston Villa

6.6

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Ian Maatsen

Aston Villa

7.3

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Aston Villa 71% Brentford 29%

Key Stats Snapshot

72 Possession 28

27 Shots 6

5 On Target 2

Form Context

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Brentford

D D D D L

Smart Insight

Aston Villa controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Aston Villa generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Brentford after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.4%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 35.8%

Expected Goals 1.39 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	0-1	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

72 Possession 28

5 Shots 2

27 Shots 6

1 Offsides 6

11 Shots Off Goal 3

5 Shots On Goal 2

27 Total Shots 6

72 Ball Possession 28

558 Passes Accurate 184

636 Total Passes 256

88% Passes % 72%

11 Blocked Shots 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 5

8 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 1

1 Yellow Cards 3

12 Corner Kicks 1

17 Shots Insidebox 5

10 Shots Outsidebox 1

2.40 expected_goals 0.38

0 goals_prevented 0

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Douglas Luiz	2	1	2	7	5	1	-	False	90	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	5	76	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Emiliano Buendía	-	-	-	15	6	2	1	False	90	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	2	48	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	3
👤 Emiliano Martínez	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	23	G	6.7	False	0	1	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	1	-	1	7	6	-	2	True	90	4	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	79	-	80	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 George Hemmings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Elliott	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	9	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	1	1	1	12	8	-	-	False	90	22	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	3	74	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	6
👤 Jadon Sancho	3	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	77	19	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	42	2	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lamare Bogarde	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	45	26	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leon Bailey	2	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	45	31	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	3	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Digne	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Bizot	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	-	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	90	2	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	2	73	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	4
👤 Morgan Rogers	4	-	2	11	6	2	2	False	90	27	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	2	50	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Pau Torres	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	14	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	76	-	83	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Ross Barkley	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tammy Abraham	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	18	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tyrone Mings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brentford — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Hickey	0	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	17	2	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Caoimhin Kelleher	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	5	-	-	19	-	48	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dango Ouattara	0	0	3	-	1	7	5	-	-	False	60	19	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	1	5	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Pinnock	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Thiago	0	0	1	1	-	17	4	2	-	False	90	9	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	3	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Jordan Henderson	0	0	-	2	-	4	1	-	-	False	60	6	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Keane Lewis-Potter	0	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	14	23	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Kevin Schade	1	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	42	7	M	5.3	False	0	-	-	1	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Kristoffer Ajer	0	1	-	-	-	8	4	4	-	False	90	20	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	1	1	3	-	1
👤 Luka Bentt	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Jensen	0	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	1	True	76	8	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Michael Kayode	0	1	3	1	1	13	8	1	2	False	90	33	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	1	12	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Mikkel Damsgaard	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nathan Collins	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	30	22	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Henry	0	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	84	3	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Romelle Donovan	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sepp van den Berg	0	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	27	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Vitaly Janelt	0	1	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	27	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	29	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	5	-
👤 Yehor Yarmoliuk	0	0	2	3	-	5	-	-	-	False	30	18	M	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Brentford

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	0-1	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford	0-1	34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Brentford

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.4%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

35.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Aston Villa 1.39

Brentford 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Aston Villa

Brentford

Villa Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)