Leeds vs Nottingham Forest - Football Platform

Premier League

Leeds

HT: 2–0

Nottingham Forest

06 Feb 2026

21:00

Elland Road

Stadium

Elland Road

Leeds, West Yorkshire, England

Capacity: 40204 Surface: grass Address: Elland Road

Score Summary

Leeds

3 1

FT HT 2–0

Nottingham Forest

86' L. Lucca

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Leeds 1494 1504 ▲ 10

51% Win

Nottingham Forest 1504 1494 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Leeds 0.22 0.39 ▲ 0.18

36% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.18 0.22 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Noah Okafor

Leeds

8.3

8.3 rating · 82 min

Most Clinical

Lorenzo Lucca

Nottingham Forest

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Ilia Gruev

Leeds

8.2

4 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Jayden Bogle

Leeds

7.7

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Leeds 45% Nottingham Forest 55%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

14 Shots 16

5 On Target 6

Form Context

Leeds

D D W W D

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Nottingham Forest carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Leeds after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.1%

Draw 27.4%

Away Win 29.5%

Expected Goals 1.54 - 1.24

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

56 Possession 44

5 Shots 6

14 Shots 16

1 Offsides 4

3 Shots Off Goal 6

5 Shots On Goal 6

14 Total Shots 16

56 Ball Possession 44

398 Passes Accurate 274

477 Total Passes 350

83% Passes % 78%

6 Blocked Shots 4

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 10

13 Shots Insidebox 9

1 Shots Outsidebox 7

2.50 expected_goals 1.33

0 goals_prevented 0

Leeds — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ao Tanaka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brenden Aaronson	0	3	-	2	17	10	-	6	False	78	11	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Daniel James	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	7	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominic Calvert-Lewin	0	1	1	-	12	4	-	-	False	90	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	-	15	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Ampadu	0	-	-	-	7	6	1	-	True	90	4	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Gabriel Gudmundsson	0	6	2	5	19	11	2	1	False	90	3	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Ilia Gruev	0	1	2	1	5	2	-	1	False	90	44	M	8.2	False	2	0	-	-	-	44	4	45	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Jaka Bijol	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Justin	0	1	-	1	10	8	1	2	False	90	24	D	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	45	4	58	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Jayden Bogle	0	1	-	-	11	5	1	-	False	89	2	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	1	32	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	5
👤 Joe Rodon	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Joël Piroe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karl Darlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	8.2	False	0	1	5	-	-	28	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Perri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Nmecha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Okafor	1	3	3	2	12	6	1	1	False	82	19	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	18	-	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Pascal Struijk	0	-	-	-	10	7	2	1	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Sean Longstaff	0	-	1	-	4	-	1	-	False	8	8	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sebastiaan Bornauw	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	23	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wilfried Gnonto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Angus Gunn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	2	1	1	6	1	2	-	False	67	7	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	2	-	-	10	4	-	1	False	23	14	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Elliot Anderson	0	4	2	2	19	9	3	-	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	3	67	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	1	1	1	-	12	6	3	1	False	90	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	32	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	3
👤 Igor Jesus	0	1	-	-	11	4	-	1	False	54	19	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	9	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenzo Lucca	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	36	20	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	1	1	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Luca Netz	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	25	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	1	-	1	7	4	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	2
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	4	-	3	8	5	1	2	True	67	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	3	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	-	5	-	7	1	-	-	False	54	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	1
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	31	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ola Aina	0	2	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	34	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	2	1	2	6	3	-	1	False	36	21	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	7	2	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	23	22	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Ortega	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	27	G	6.3	False	0	3	2	-	-	15	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zach Abbott	0	3	-	1	10	5	2	-	False	76	44	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Leeds and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds	3-1	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	3-1	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Leeds and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.1%

Home Win

27.4%

Draw

29.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Leeds 1.54

Nottingham Forest 1.24

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Leeds

Nottingham Forest

Elland Road

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)