Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - Football Platform

Premier League

Bournemouth

HT: 0–1

Aston Villa

22' M. Rogers
55' Rayan

07 Feb 2026

16:00

Vitality Stadium

Stadium

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth, Dorset, England

Capacity: 12000 Surface: grass Address: Dean Court, Kings Park

Score Summary

Bournemouth

1 1

FT HT 0–1

Aston Villa

Rayan 55'

22' M. Rogers

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

36% Win

Bournemouth 1506 1508 ▲ 3

64% Win

Aston Villa 1607 1604 ▼ -3

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Bournemouth 0.26 0.33 ▲ 0.07

34% Win

Aston Villa 0.24 0.24 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Emiliano Martínez

Aston Villa

8.6

8.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Rayan

Bournemouth

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Amine Adli

Bournemouth

8.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lucas Digne

Aston Villa

6.5

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bournemouth 69% Aston Villa 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

20 Shots 7

9 On Target 4

Form Context

Bournemouth

D D W W D

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Smart Insight

Bournemouth controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bournemouth generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.6%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 27.2%

Expected Goals 1.59 - 1.19

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-1	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

53 Possession 47

9 Shots 4

20 Shots 7

3 Offsides 3

7 Shots Off Goal 0

9 Shots On Goal 4

20 Total Shots 7

53 Ball Possession 47

343 Passes Accurate 310

413 Total Passes 382

83% Passes % 81%

4 Blocked Shots 3

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

4 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

11 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 5

8 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.06 expected_goals 0.44

1 goals_prevented 1

Bournemouth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Smith	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	15	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adrien Truffert	0	4	-	1	11	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Alex Scott	0	-	1	-	5	1	-	1	False	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	57	-	-	-	1	2	1	2	-
👤 Alex Tóth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amine Adli	0	-	-	-	10	7	-	2	False	90	21	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	30	4	39	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Bafodé Diakité	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christos Mandas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Brooks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eli Junior Kroupi	0	1	-	1	6	2	1	-	False	65	22	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	17	1	19	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Enes Unal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	26	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Evanilson	0	-	1	-	8	4	1	1	False	89	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	3	12	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 James Hill	0	-	-	-	9	4	1	1	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Lewis Cook	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	2	True	90	4	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Malcom Dacosta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	51	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Senesi	0	-	1	-	6	2	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	55	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Rayan	0	3	1	1	12	7	-	2	False	87	37	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	1	26	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Christie	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	25	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Veljko Milosavljević	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álex Jiménez	1	2	1	-	13	7	-	2	False	86	20	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Đorđe Petrović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	3	-	-	19	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	0	-	-	-	9	8	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Douglas Luiz	0	1	-	1	6	4	2	-	False	77	21	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Emiliano Buendía	1	1	-	-	8	2	1	-	False	66	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	23	G	8.6	False	0	1	7	-	-	27	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	True	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	22	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	2	-	2	6	5	-	-	False	77	19	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	19	2	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	9	26	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leon Bailey	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	24	31	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Digne	0	1	2	1	16	9	1	-	False	86	12	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	26	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Morgan Rogers	0	-	1	-	9	4	-	1	False	90	27	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	2	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	2	-	-	12	3	4	1	False	86	11	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	2	15	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pau Torres	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ross Barkley	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	13	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Sam Proctor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	52	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tammy Abraham	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	18	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrone Mings	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bournemouth and Aston Villa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-1	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth	1-1	34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bournemouth and Aston Villa

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.6%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

27.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bournemouth 1.59

Aston Villa 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bournemouth

Aston Villa

Vitality Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)