Crystal Palace vs Burnley - Football Platform

Premier League

Crystal Palace

HT: 2–3

Burnley

11 Feb 2026

20:30

Selhurst Park

Stadium

Selhurst Park

London, England

Capacity: 26309 Surface: grass Address: Holmesdale Road

Score Summary

Crystal Palace

2 3

FT HT 2–3

Burnley

J. S. Larsen 17'
J. S. Larsen 33'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

58% Win

Crystal Palace 1476 1465 ▼ -12

42% Win

Burnley 1422 1434 ▲ 12

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

Crystal Palace 0.18 0.29 ▲ 0.11

27% Win

Burnley -0.69 -0.76 ▼ -0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jørgen Strand Larsen

Crystal Palace

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Jørgen Strand Larsen

Crystal Palace

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Daniel Muñoz

Crystal Palace

7.6

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lesley Ugochukwu

Burnley

6.6

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Crystal Palace 50% Burnley 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

65 Possession 35

21 Shots 8

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Crystal Palace

W D W D L

Burnley

D L L L L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Crystal Palace generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Burnley after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 56.3%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 18.7%

Expected Goals 1.81 - 0.96

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

65 Possession 35

3 Shots 3

21 Shots 8

1 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 3

21 Total Shots 8

65 Ball Possession 35

462 Passes Accurate 212

572 Total Passes 316

81% Passes % 67%

11 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 2

15 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.80 expected_goals 0.53

0 goals_prevented 0

Crystal Palace — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Wharton	0	1	3	-	8	2	1	-	False	83	20	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	51	1	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Borna Sosa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brennan Johnson	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	32	11	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Chadi Riad	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	1	False	45	34	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chris Richards	1	-	-	-	9	5	1	-	False	90	26	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Christantus Uche	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	13	12	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daichi Kamada	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	72	18	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	2	46	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Daniel Muñoz	0	-	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	72	2	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	5	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Dean Henderson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	3	1	-	-	20	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Evann Guessand	0	2	-	1	9	5	-	1	False	58	29	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Ismaïla Sarr	0	-	-	-	14	3	1	-	False	90	7	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	27	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jefferson Lerma	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	8	D	5.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	30	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Justin Devenny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jørgen Strand Larsen	0	-	1	-	11	6	2	1	False	90	22	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	2	-	18	-	26	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Maxence Lacroix	0	-	-	-	12	9	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	79	-	88	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 Nathaniel Clyne	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrick Mitchell	0	1	-	-	13	7	1	3	False	90	3	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	22	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Walter Benitez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Will Hughes	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	18	19	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yéremy Pino	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	18	10	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ashley Barnes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bashir Humphreys	0	4	-	2	10	6	-	1	False	90	12	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	39	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Florentino Luís	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	16	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Hannibal Mejbri	1	1	-	1	12	10	-	5	False	83	28	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	-	28	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	3
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	17	7	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Jaidon Anthony	0	4	-	1	8	4	-	1	False	90	11	F	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	2	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 James Ward-Prowse	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	13	20	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joe Worrall	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Josh Laurent	0	-	-	-	12	4	3	-	False	90	29	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Kyle Walker	0	-	-	-	7	1	-	-	True	90	2	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	-	2	-	8	3	1	-	False	87	8	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Pires	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lyle Foster	0	-	-	-	7	1	1	1	False	17	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Edwards	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	73	10	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	18	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	2	1	-	-	14	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	0	1	-	1	11	8	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Zian Flemming	0	1	-	-	13	7	2	1	False	73	19	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Crystal Palace and Burnley

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace	2-3	33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	2-3	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Crystal Palace and Burnley

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

56.3%

Home Win

25.0%

Draw

18.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Crystal Palace 1.81

Burnley 0.96

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Crystal Palace

Burnley

Selhurst Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)