Aston Villa vs Brighton - Football Platform

Premier League

Aston Villa

HT: 0–0

Brighton

86' J. Hinshelwood

11 Feb 2026

20:30

Villa Park

Stadium

Villa Park

Birmingham, England

Capacity: 42824 Surface: grass Address: Trinity Road

Score Summary

Aston Villa

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Brighton

J. Hinshelwood 86'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

65% Win

Aston Villa 1604 1611 ▲ 7

35% Win

Brighton 1498 1491 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Aston Villa 0.18 0.24 ▲ 0.07

36% Win

Brighton 0.09 0.33 ▲ 0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

Douglas Luiz

Aston Villa

7.5

7.5 rating · 84 min

Most Clinical

No standout performer yet

Best Creator

Jadon Sancho

Aston Villa

7.3

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Diego Gómez

Brighton

7.0

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Aston Villa 25% Brighton 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

15 Shots 9

1 On Target 3

Form Context

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Brighton

W W W D W

Smart Insight

Brighton carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Aston Villa generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Aston Villa after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.8%

Draw 27.6%

Away Win 31.6%

Expected Goals 1.49 - 1.29

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-0	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	1-0	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

50 Possession 50

1 Shots 3

15 Shots 9

0 Offsides 3

10 Shots Off Goal 5

1 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 9

50 Ball Possession 50

342 Passes Accurate 348

418 Total Passes 418

82% Passes % 83%

4 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 5

10 Shots Insidebox 7

5 Shots Outsidebox 2

0.72 expected_goals 0.50

0 goals_prevented 0

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alysson	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	16	47	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amadou Onana	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	75	24	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Douglas Luiz	0	-	1	-	11	7	1	5	False	84	21	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	50	2	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	60	10	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	7	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Martínez	1	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	90	23	G	7.3	False	0	3	-	-	38	-	55	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	49	-	49	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	4	3	-	14	5	-	-	False	90	22	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	21	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	1	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	60	19	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	14	3	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Wright	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	64	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	1	-	8	4	-	1	False	90	26	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Leon Bailey	0	3	-	-	7	2	2	1	False	30	31	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	3	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Digne	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Rogers	1	1	-	-	8	3	1	2	False	90	27	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	16	2	23	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	-	-	-	4	-	3	-	False	74	11	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Pau Torres	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ross Barkley	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	30	6	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Tammy Abraham	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	18	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tyrone Mings	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	55	-	66	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	3	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	2	-	-	30	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	22	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	9	19	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	0	2	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	81	18	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Diego Gómez	0	3	1	2	15	8	1	-	False	81	25	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	90	24	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Georginio Rutter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Howell	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	9	53	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	0	-	-	-	9	4	4	1	False	90	13	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	48	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 James Milner	0	-	-	-	6	3	2	-	False	68	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	21	1	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	2
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	1	-	1	-	6	4	2	2	False	61	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	1	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	False	90	34	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	0	3	-	1	8	5	1	2	False	81	22	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	1	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Lewis Dunk	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	29	21	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Pascal Groß	0	1	-	1	6	3	1	-	False	90	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	34	3	42	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	9	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Brighton

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-0	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	1-0	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Brighton

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.8%

Home Win

27.6%

Draw

31.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Aston Villa 1.49

Brighton 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Aston Villa

Brighton

Villa Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)