Manchester City vs Newcastle - Football Platform

Premier League

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

HT: 2–1

Newcastle

21 Feb 2026

21:00

Etihad Stadium

Stadium

Etihad Stadium

Manchester, England

Capacity: 55097 Surface: grass Address: Rowsley Street

Score Summary

Manchester City

2 1

FT HT 2–1

Newcastle

N. O'Reilly 14'
N. O'Reilly 27'

22' L. Hall

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

59% Win

Manchester City 1606 1614 ▲ 8

41% Win

Newcastle 1541 1533 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Manchester City 0.72 0.88 ▲ 0.16

37% Win

Newcastle 0.68 0.22 ▼ -0.46

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rodri

Manchester City

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Nico O'Reilly

Manchester City

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Jacob Ramsey

Newcastle

7.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Rodri

Manchester City

8.7

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester City 50% Newcastle 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

15 Shots 13

7 On Target 7

Form Context

Manchester City

D D W W W

Newcastle

W L L L L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Manchester City after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.3%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 35.9%

Expected Goals 1.39 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	2-1	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

55 Possession 45

7 Shots 7

15 Shots 13

1 Offsides 5

6 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 7

15 Total Shots 13

55 Ball Possession 45

388 Passes Accurate 293

460 Total Passes 362

84% Passes % 81%

2 Blocked Shots 3

6 Goalkeeper Saves 5

12 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 5

5 Corner Kicks 5

10 Shots Insidebox 8

5 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.35 expected_goals 0.58

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdukodir Khusanov	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	45	45	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Antoine Semenyo	0	2	-	-	13	6	-	1	False	87	42	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	23	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	5
👤 Bernardo Silva	1	4	-	2	11	3	2	1	True	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	2	75	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Erling Haaland	0	4	-	2	18	11	1	3	False	90	9	F	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	1	16	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	25	G	7.3	False	0	1	6	-	-	20	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Stones	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Guéhi	0	1	1	1	8	4	1	1	False	90	15	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Matheus Nunes	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	90	27	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nico González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico O'Reilly	0	3	1	-	8	2	1	-	False	90	33	M	8.6	False	0	0	-	2	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Omar Marmoush	0	1	-	1	5	3	1	-	False	58	7	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	10	2	13	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	2
👤 Phil Foden	0	1	-	1	5	1	1	-	False	8	47	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Aït-Nouri	0	1	-	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	21	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Rayan Cherki	0	5	1	4	8	5	1	1	False	32	10	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Lewis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodri	0	2	-	2	14	13	-	3	False	90	16	M	8.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	3	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Rúben Dias	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Savinho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	2	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	78	20	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	2	-	-	9	3	-	1	False	78	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	4	1	5	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Dan Burn	1	-	-	-	15	7	3	1	False	90	33	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	27	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Harvey Barnes	1	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	30	11	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	1	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	90	41	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	1	23	3	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Joe Willock	1	-	2	-	7	1	2	-	False	60	28	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	1	-	1	-	15	9	4	4	False	30	7	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 John Ruddy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kieran Trippier	1	1	1	1	5	2	1	-	True	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	2	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leo Shahar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	6	2	1	16	7	1	2	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	36	-	46	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	4
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	3	-	12	7	-	2	False	90	12	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	38	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	3
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	5	-	-	17	-	25	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	1	2	1	10	3	-	-	False	60	27	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sean Neave	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Osula	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	18	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester City and Newcastle

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	2-1	33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	2-1	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester City and Newcastle

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.3%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

35.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester City 1.39

Newcastle 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester City

Newcastle

Etihad Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)