Burnley vs Brentford - Football Platform

Premier League

Burnley

HT: 1–3

Brentford

28 Feb 2026

16:00

Turf Moor

Stadium

Turf Moor

Burnley, England

Capacity: 22546 Surface: grass Address: Harry Potts Way

Score Summary

Burnley

3 4

FT HT 1–3

Brentford

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

35% Win

Burnley 1430 1423 ▼ -7

65% Win

Brentford 1538 1545 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

32% Win

Burnley -0.55 -0.76 ▼ -0.21

52% Win

Brentford 0.46 0.51 ▲ 0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Mikkel Damsgaard

Brentford

9.3

9.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mikkel Damsgaard

Brentford

9.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Josh Laurent

Burnley

6.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Hannibal Mejbri

Burnley

7.3

3 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Burnley 30% Brentford 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

41 Possession 59

12 Shots 16

3 On Target 7

Form Context

Burnley

D L L L L

Brentford

D D D D L

Smart Insight

Brentford carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Brentford produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Brentford after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 25.7%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 47.4%

Expected Goals 1.15 - 1.63

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

41 Possession 59

3 Shots 7

12 Shots 16

2 Offsides 0

7 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 7

12 Total Shots 16

41 Ball Possession 59

256 Passes Accurate 376

326 Total Passes 463

79% Passes % 81%

2 Blocked Shots 5

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

9 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 8

9 Shots Insidebox 13

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.97 expected_goals 2.25

-1 goals_prevented -1

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ashley Barnes	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	13	35	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bashir Humphreys	1	2	1	2	8	5	1	-	False	90	12	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Florentino Luís	0	1	1	1	3	1	-	-	False	15	16	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Hannibal Mejbri	0	4	1	3	14	9	-	3	False	84	28	M	7.3	False	2	0	-	-	-	25	2	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	45	7	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaidon Anthony	0	8	1	4	15	7	2	-	False	90	11	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	1	23	-	27	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	2
👤 James Ward-Prowse	0	-	1	-	7	2	-	1	False	75	20	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Joe Worrall	0	-	2	-	14	3	-	-	False	90	4	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Josh Laurent	0	2	2	1	8	3	-	-	False	45	29	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	4	23	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Kyle Walker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	2	-	1	7	4	1	1	False	45	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	1	2	1	5	1	-	-	False	20	17	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Pires	0	1	2	-	8	3	2	-	False	90	23	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Lyle Foster	1	1	1	1	9	5	-	1	False	45	9	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	4	2	-	-	17	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	True	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Quilindschy Hartman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zian Flemming	0	1	1	1	10	4	1	-	False	89	19	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1

Brentford — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dango Ouattara	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	72	19	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	8	2	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ellery Balcombe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Pinnock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	12	G	6.3	False	0	3	1	-	-	30	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Thiago	1	5	-	4	21	16	4	1	False	90	9	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	15	1	25	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 Jordan Henderson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	18	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Kaye Furo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Keane Lewis-Potter	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	18	23	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Schade	0	2	1	-	6	2	-	1	False	72	7	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Kristoffer Ajer	0	-	-	-	8	2	1	-	False	90	20	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Luka Bentt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Jensen	0	1	4	1	6	2	-	-	True	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	57	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Michael Kayode	0	7	1	5	17	12	-	2	False	90	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	2	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Mikkel Damsgaard	0	2	4	-	12	2	2	-	False	90	24	M	9.3	False	1	0	-	2	-	35	2	44	-	-	-	2	3	-	2	1
👤 Nathan Collins	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ollie Shield	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Henry	0	2	2	2	14	7	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	37	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Romelle Donovan	0	3	-	2	4	3	-	1	False	18	45	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sepp van den Berg	0	-	-	-	12	10	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	68	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Yehor Yarmoliuk	1	-	4	-	11	5	1	1	False	72	18	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Burnley and Brentford

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford	3-4	34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	3-4	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Burnley and Brentford

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

25.7%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

47.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Burnley 1.15

Brentford 1.63

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Burnley

Brentford

Turf Moor

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)