Brighton vs Nottingham Forest - Football Platform

Premier League

Brighton

HT: 2–1

Nottingham Forest

01 Mar 2026

15:00

Amex Stadium

Stadium

American Express Stadium

Falmer, East Sussex, England

Capacity: 31872 Surface: grass Address: Village Way

Score Summary

Brighton

2 1

FT HT 2–1

Nottingham Forest

D. Gomez 6'
D. Welbeck 15'

13' M. Gibbs-White

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Brighton 1495 1505 ▲ 10

48% Win

Nottingham Forest 1484 1474 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Brighton 0.09 0.33 ▲ 0.24

46% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.27 0.22 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Morgan Gibbs-White

Nottingham Forest

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Diego Gómez

Brighton

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Pascal Groß

Brighton

7.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Danny Welbeck

Brighton

7.2

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brighton 64% Nottingham Forest 36%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

14 Shots 13

7 On Target 4

Form Context

Brighton

W W W D W

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Brighton controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Brighton after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 32.6%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 39.7%

Expected Goals 1.31 - 1.47

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-1	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

54 Possession 46

7 Shots 4

14 Shots 13

0 Offsides 4

5 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 4

14 Total Shots 13

54 Ball Possession 46

453 Passes Accurate 380

522 Total Passes 444

87% Passes % 86%

2 Blocked Shots 6

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

12 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 4

7 Shots Insidebox 7

7 Shots Outsidebox 6

1.32 expected_goals 0.79

0 goals_prevented 0

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	3	-	-	32	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	17	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	0	2	2	-	8	4	-	1	False	90	18	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	26	1	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Diego Gómez	0	2	-	1	13	7	2	-	False	86	25	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	2	33	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	0	-	-	-	7	7	-	3	False	90	24	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	50	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Georginio Rutter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	0	1	1	-	11	4	3	-	False	90	13	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	27	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 James Milner	0	-	2	-	6	1	1	-	False	86	20	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	1	False	90	6	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	57	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	2
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	19	34	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	1	-	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	89	22	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	3	36	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Dunk	1	-	1	-	7	4	1	1	True	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	85	-	88	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Mats Wieffer	1	-	3	-	11	5	2	2	False	71	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	30	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	1	29	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	90	30	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	51	3	60	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Solly March	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	11	7	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Angus Gunn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	4	-	3	7	5	-	2	False	74	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	2	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	2	-	1	5	3	1	2	False	8	14	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dilane Bakwa	0	1	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	16	29	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	1	-	-	-	11	5	3	1	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	51	1	56	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	0	3	-	2	7	4	1	1	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Igor Jesus	0	2	-	2	14	6	2	2	False	83	19	F	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	2	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	34	23	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Netz	0	1	1	1	4	1	-	-	False	34	25	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	26	G	6.9	False	0	2	5	-	-	26	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	2	-	2	7	4	-	1	True	90	10	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	1	31	3	36	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Murillo	0	-	-	-	9	3	3	-	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Neco Williams	0	2	-	-	7	4	-	1	False	56	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	31	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Ola Aina	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	82	34	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	56	21	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brighton and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-1	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	2-1	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brighton and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

32.6%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

39.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brighton 1.31

Nottingham Forest 1.47

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brighton

Nottingham Forest

American Express Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)