Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Football Platform

Premier League

Aston Villa

HT: 1–2

Chelsea

04 Mar 2026

20:30

Villa Park

Stadium

Villa Park

Birmingham, England

Capacity: 42824 Surface: grass Address: Trinity Road

Score Summary

Aston Villa

1 4

FT HT 1–2

Chelsea

Douglas Luiz 2'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Aston Villa 1581 1571 ▼ -10

48% Win

Chelsea 1570 1580 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

31% Win

Aston Villa 0.16 0.24 ▲ 0.09

55% Win

Chelsea 0.81 0.81 ▲ 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

João Pedro

Chelsea

9.6

9.6 rating · 85 min

Most Clinical

João Pedro

Chelsea

9.6

3 goals

Best Creator

Alejandro Garnacho

Chelsea

7.6

6 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Ian Maatsen

Aston Villa

5.9

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Aston Villa 33% Chelsea 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

9 Shots 15

4 On Target 8

Form Context

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Chelsea

L L L L L

Smart Insight

Chelsea carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Chelsea produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Chelsea after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 28.3%

Draw 27.3%

Away Win 44.4%

Expected Goals 1.21 - 1.57

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-4	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

43 Possession 57

4 Shots 8

9 Shots 15

2 Offsides 2

4 Shots Off Goal 3

4 Shots On Goal 8

9 Total Shots 15

43 Ball Possession 57

371 Passes Accurate 515

431 Total Passes 565

86% Passes % 91%

1 Blocked Shots 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 8

6 Shots Insidebox 14

3 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.78 expected_goals 3.60

0 goals_prevented 0

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alysson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	27	47	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Amadou Onana	0	-	1	-	8	5	2	1	False	90	24	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Douglas Luiz	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	63	21	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	63	10	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	23	G	6.6	False	0	4	4	-	-	32	1	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	True	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	1	1	-	9	5	-	3	False	90	22	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	2
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	27	19	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	26	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leon Bailey	0	4	1	2	8	4	-	1	False	63	31	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Lucas Digne	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	1	1	1	-	5	-	2	-	False	45	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Morgan Rogers	1	2	2	-	7	-	1	-	False	90	27	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	29	-	-	-	1	3	1	-	-
👤 Ollie Watkins	1	-	-	-	7	3	2	2	False	71	11	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	8	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Pau Torres	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ross Barkley	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	27	6	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tammy Abraham	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	19	18	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Tyrone Mings	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	2	-	-	11	7	-	3	False	90	49	F	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	27	6	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Andrey Santos	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	17	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benoît Badiashile	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cole Palmer	0	2	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	85	10	F	8.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	33	3	36	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	1
👤 Enzo Fernández	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	2	False	79	8	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	3	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	12	G	6.7	False	0	1	3	-	-	39	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorrel Hato	0	2	2	2	9	5	1	-	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 João Pedro	1	2	-	1	12	6	2	2	False	85	20	F	9.6	False	1	0	-	3	-	10	1	18	-	-	-	4	5	-	-	2
👤 Liam Delap	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	12	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malo Gusto	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	75	27	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	1	42	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mamadou Sarr	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	3	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Guiu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moisés Caicedo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Reece James	0	2	-	2	4	4	-	-	True	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roméo Lavia	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	45	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tosin Adarabioyo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	4	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	90	23	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	76	-	80	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Wesley Fofana	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	79	29	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Chelsea

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-4	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea	1-4	34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Chelsea

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

28.3%

Home Win

27.3%

Draw

44.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Aston Villa 1.21

Chelsea 1.57

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Villa Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)