Newcastle vs Manchester United

Premier League

Newcastle

HT: 1–1

Manchester United

04 Mar 2026

21:15

St. James' Park

Stadium

St. James' Park

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Capacity: 52758 Surface: grass Address: St. James' Street

Score Summary

Newcastle

2 1

FT HT 1–1

Manchester United

A. Gordon 45'
W. Osula 90'

45' Casemiro

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

Newcastle 1531 1542 ▲ 11

55% Win

Manchester United 1564 1553 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Newcastle 0.53 0.22 ▼ -0.31

37% Win

Manchester United 0.52 0.31 ▼ -0.21

Top Performers

Top Rated

Sandro Tonali

Newcastle

7.9

7.9 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Anthony Gordon

Newcastle

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

7.5

8 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Kieran Trippier

Newcastle

7.2

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 50% Manchester United 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

45 Possession 55

12 Shots 14

5 On Target 5

Form Context

Newcastle

W L L L L

Manchester United

W D L W W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.0%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 33.2%

Expected Goals 1.45 - 1.32

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-1	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

45 Possession 55

5 Shots 5

12 Shots 14

N/A Offsides N/A

6 Shots Off Goal 4

5 Shots On Goal 5

12 Total Shots 14

45 Ball Possession 55

291 Passes Accurate 384

381 Total Passes 469

76% Passes % 82%

1 Blocked Shots 5

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

15 Fouls 16

1 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 3

2 Corner Kicks 4

8 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.48 expected_goals 1.48

0 goals_prevented 0

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	32	G	6.5	False	0	1	4	-	-	25	-	47	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	0	2	-	1	13	8	1	2	False	84	20	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	22	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	0	1	-	-	12	6	1	4	False	85	10	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	2	20	-	-	1	1	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Dan Burn	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	90	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	23	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	1	2	-	-	-	5	4	2	-	False	46	41	M	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Joe Willock	0	0	1	2	-	10	4	2	2	False	45	28	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Joelinton	0	1	2	1	2	20	12	2	1	False	90	7	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	55	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	1	-	3	-	21	10	2	2	True	90	2	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	36	1	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Leo Shahar	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	0	3	-	1	11	6	1	4	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	37	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	-	False	90	12	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	28	-	-	0	-	1	1	2	2	-
👤 Nick Pope	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	0	1	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	89	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	35	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	2	-
👤 Sean Neave	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sven Botman	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	4	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Osula	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	14	18	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	16	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	-	-	-	6	-	1	-	False	90	30	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	1	2	-	13	4	2	1	True	90	8	M	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	54	8	64	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	1	1	-	-	7	2	4	-	False	77	19	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Casemiro	0	-	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	61	18	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	-	38	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	1
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	1	1	1	5	1	2	-	False	29	2	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Godwill Kukonki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	72	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Maguire	0	1	-	-	11	7	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	13	11	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	2	False	76	37	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	15	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Luke Shaw	1	-	1	-	10	3	1	1	False	61	23	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	29	25	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	8	-	4	26	17	1	5	False	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	39	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Noussair Mazraoui	1	2	-	1	12	7	2	3	False	85	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	7.5	False	0	2	3	-	-	13	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fletcher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	12	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Manchester United

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-1	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	2-1	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Manchester United

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.0%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

33.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.45

Manchester United 1.32

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Manchester United

St. James' Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)