Manchester United vs Aston Villa

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 0–0

Aston Villa

15 Mar 2026

15:00

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

3 1

FT HT 0–0

Aston Villa

Casemiro 53'
M. Cunha 71'
B. Sesko 81'

64' R. Barkley

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Manchester United 1553 1564 ▲ 11

54% Win

Aston Villa 1579 1569 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Manchester United 0.47 0.31 ▼ -0.16

31% Win

Aston Villa 0.06 0.24 ▲ 0.18

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ross Barkley

Aston Villa

8.2

8.2 rating · 82 min

Most Clinical

Casemiro

Manchester United

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

7.3

6 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Leny Yoro

Manchester United

7.2

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 75% Aston Villa 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

16 Shots 9

6 On Target 2

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Smart Insight

Manchester United controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester United generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Manchester United after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.8%

Draw 26.5%

Away Win 23.7%

Expected Goals 1.68 - 1.10

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	3-1	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	3-1	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

53 Possession 47

6 Shots 2

16 Shots 9

1 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 5

6 Shots On Goal 2

16 Total Shots 9

53 Ball Possession 47

409 Passes Accurate 360

479 Total Passes 426

85% Passes % 85%

4 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 5

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 6

11 Shots Insidebox 6

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.07 expected_goals 1.02

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	2	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	90	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	40	2	45	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	15	30	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	1	-	1	7	2	1	-	True	90	8	M	7.3	False	2	0	-	-	-	45	6	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	75	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	15	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Casemiro	1	-	2	-	12	5	4	1	False	89	18	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	31	1	39	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	-	2	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	35	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Harry Maguire	1	-	-	-	6	5	1	1	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	1	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	4	-	2	8	5	-	-	False	90	37	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Leny Yoro	1	-	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Luke Shaw	0	1	-	-	10	6	2	1	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	25	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	10	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	27	1	37	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Noussair Mazraoui	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	7	False	0	1	1	-	-	23	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fletcher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	0	1	1	-	6	1	-	-	False	90	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	54	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Andrés García	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	13	16	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Douglas Luiz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Buendía	1	3	1	1	10	7	1	2	False	86	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	23	G	5.6	False	0	3	3	-	-	15	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Harvey Elliott	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	22	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John McGinn	0	-	1	-	7	2	2	2	True	61	7	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	90	26	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Leon Bailey	0	2	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	29	31	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Digne	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	82	12	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Rogers	0	2	-	2	12	8	1	3	False	90	27	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Ollie Watkins	1	4	-	1	8	3	1	1	False	60	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Torres	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ross Barkley	0	1	-	1	8	6	-	-	False	82	6	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	54	-	60	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	4
👤 Tammy Abraham	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	30	18	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tyrone Mings	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Aston Villa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	3-1	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	3-1	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Aston Villa

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 58.6%

Draw 12.4%

Away Win 29.0%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.8%

Home Win

26.5%

Draw

23.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.68

Aston Villa 1.10

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Aston Villa

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)