Burnley vs Brighton - Football Platform

Premier League

Burnley

HT: 0–1

Brighton

43' M. Wieffer
89' M. Wieffer

11 Apr 2026

16:00

Turf Moor

Stadium

Turf Moor

Burnley, England

Capacity: 22546 Surface: grass Address: Harry Potts Way

Score Summary

Burnley

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Brighton

43' M. Wieffer
89' M. Wieffer

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

35% Win

Burnley 1411 1404 ▼ -7

65% Win

Brighton 1521 1528 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

31% Win

Burnley -0.71 -0.76 ▼ -0.04

55% Win

Brighton 0.29 0.33 ▲ 0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

No standout performer yet

Most Clinical

No standout performer yet

Best Creator

No standout performer yet

Defensive Leader

No standout performer yet

Match Momentum

Burnley 45% Brighton 55%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

10 Shots 13

5 On Target 6

Form Context

Burnley

D L L L L

Brighton

W W W D W

Smart Insight

Brighton carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Brighton produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Brighton after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 22.5%

Draw 26.2%

Away Win 51.3%

Expected Goals 1.07 - 1.71

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	0-2	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

49 Possession 51

5 Shots 6

10 Shots 13

2 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 3

5 Shots On Goal 6

10 Total Shots 13

49 Ball Possession 51

352 Passes Accurate 388

436 Total Passes 464

81% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

7 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 2

8 Shots Insidebox 9

2 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.90 expected_goals 1.91

0 goals_prevented 0

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armando Broja	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bashir Humphreys	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	12	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florentino Luís	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	16	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	18	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaidon Anthony	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	11	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Ward-Prowse	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	20	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Worrall	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kyle Walker	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	8	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loum Tchaouna	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Pires	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lyle Foster	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Edwards	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	10	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Dúbravka	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	1	G	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	0	5	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mike Trésor	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Quilindschy Hartman	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	3	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zian Flemming	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	19	F	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	1	G	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	0	18	F	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	25	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	24	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Georginio Rutter	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Júlio	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	13	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	6	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jason Steele	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mats Wieffer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	27	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	21	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	30	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Solly March	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yankuba Minteh	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	11	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yasin Ayari	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	26	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Burnley and Brighton

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	0-2	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	0-2	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Burnley and Brighton

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 30.0%

Draw 13.2%

Away Win 56.7%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

22.5%

Home Win

26.2%

Draw

51.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Burnley 1.07

Brighton 1.71

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Burnley

Brighton

Turf Moor

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)