Manchester United vs Brentford

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 2–0

Brentford

27 Apr 2026

21:00

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

2 1

FT HT 2–0

Brentford

Casemiro 11'
B. Sesko 43'

87' M. Jensen

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Manchester United 1561 1570 ▲ 9

47% Win

Brentford 1538 1528 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

Manchester United 0.32 0.31 ▼ -0.01

37% Win

Brentford 0.50 0.51 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Casemiro

Manchester United

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Casemiro

Manchester United

9.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

7.9

6 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Casemiro

Manchester United

9.5

11 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 60% Brentford 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

45 Possession 55

11 Shots 12

6 On Target 4

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Brentford

D D D D L

Smart Insight

Manchester United controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Manchester United after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.8%

Draw 26.1%

Away Win 22.1%

Expected Goals 1.72 - 1.06

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-1	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

45 Possession 55

6 Shots 4

11 Shots 12

1 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 4

11 Total Shots 12

45 Ball Possession 55

333 Passes Accurate 423

403 Total Passes 488

83% Passes % 87%

0 Blocked Shots 4

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

6 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

7 Corner Kicks 8

7 Shots Insidebox 9

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.27 expected_goals 1.43

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	14	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	90	26	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	2	2	2	12	7	1	2	False	88	30	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	1	1	-	7	2	-	-	True	90	8	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	6	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	74	19	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Casemiro	0	-	1	-	18	16	-	2	False	90	18	M	9.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	42	-	49	-	-	-	1	3	1	2	11
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	-	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Harry Maguire	0	-	-	-	9	8	-	2	False	90	5	D	8.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	33	1	37	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	2
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	1	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	8	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	3	-	3	12	8	1	-	False	90	37	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	4
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	15	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luke Shaw	1	-	1	-	10	8	1	1	False	73	23	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	26	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	5
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	16	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Noussair Mazraoui	0	-	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	45	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Patrick Dorgu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	31	G	7.5	False	0	1	5	-	-	17	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shea Lacey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brentford — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Hickey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Caoimhin Kelleher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	3	-	-	18	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dango Ouattara	1	5	1	2	15	5	1	1	False	90	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	27	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Ethan Pinnock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Thiago	1	1	1	1	12	2	3	-	False	90	9	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	6	2	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Josh Dasilva	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaye Furo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Keane Lewis-Potter	0	5	-	1	7	2	-	-	False	90	23	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	37	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Kevin Schade	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	73	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kristoffer Ajer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Jensen	0	2	-	1	6	2	2	1	False	90	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	78	1	92	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	-
👤 Michael Kayode	0	3	-	1	9	4	-	1	False	90	33	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Mikkel Damsgaard	0	2	1	1	6	2	-	1	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	2	77	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Nathan Collins	1	-	2	-	9	2	2	-	True	90	22	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Ollie Shield	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Reiss Nelson	0	3	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	17	11	F	6.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Romelle Donovan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sepp van den Berg	1	-	-	-	12	6	1	1	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	47	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Yehor Yarmoliuk	0	3	1	1	13	6	-	-	False	90	18	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Brentford

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-1	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford	2-1	34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Brentford

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 57.5%

Draw 12.9%

Away Win 29.6%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.8%

Home Win

26.1%

Draw

22.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.72

Brentford 1.06

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Brentford

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)