Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk

UEFA Europa Conference League

Shakhtar Donetsk

12 Mar 2026

18:45

Stadion Poznan

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 4

Score Summary

Lech Poznan

1 3

FT HT 0–1

Shakhtar Donetsk

M. Ishak 70'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Lech Poznan 1508 1508 — 0

51% Win

Shakhtar Donetsk 1514 1514 — 0

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Lech Poznan -0.02 -0.02 — 0.00

36% Win

Shakhtar Donetsk 0.00 0.00 — N/A

Top Performers

Top Rated

Joel Pereira

Lech Poznan

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mikael Ishak

Lech Poznan

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Joel Pereira

Lech Poznan

7.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Joel Pereira

Lech Poznan

7.9

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lech Poznan 30% Shakhtar Donetsk 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

44 Possession 56

8 Shots 16

3 On Target 7

Form Context

Lech Poznan

L L W D W

Shakhtar Donetsk

L W W W D

Smart Insight

Shakhtar Donetsk carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Shakhtar Donetsk produced more shot pressure than expected.

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa		14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-3	13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca		12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace		10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan	1-3	10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		10	W W D L L
13	Celje		10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina		9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		8	D L D W L
20	Drita		8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

44 Possession 56

3 Shots 7

8 Shots 16

0 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 7

8 Total Shots 16

44 Ball Possession 56

349 Passes Accurate 492

423 Total Passes 551

83% Passes % 89%

2 Blocked Shots 5

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Corner Kicks 1

5 Shots Insidebox 8

3 Shots Outsidebox 8

1.45 expected_goals 1.27

0 goals_prevented 0

Lech Poznan — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ali Gholizadeh	1	2	2	2	9	5	1	1	False	61	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Antoni Kozubal	0	2	2	-	8	2	1	-	False	90	43	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Antonio Milić	1	-	3	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	16	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Bartosz Mrozek	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	7.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	15	-	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gisli Thordarson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Pereira	0	-	3	-	10	7	-	1	False	90	2	D	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	37	3	48	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	6
👤 João Moutinho	0	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	29	4	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Bengtsson	0	4	1	1	11	3	3	-	False	45	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Luis Palma	0	-	1	-	6	3	2	1	False	61	77	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mateusz Pruchniewski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateusz Skrzypczak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	72	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michal Gurgul	0	3	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	61	15	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mikael Ishak	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	True	90	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Pablo Rodríguez	0	3	1	1	7	3	-	1	False	83	99	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Patrik Wålemark	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	29	10	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	2	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Plamen Andreev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Gumny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taofeek Ismaheel	0	3	-	2	4	2	1	-	False	29	88	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Timothy Ouma	0	-	3	-	4	1	-	-	False	45	6	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Wojciech Mońka	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	27	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	3	2	1
👤 Yannick Agnero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Shakhtar Donetsk — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alisson Santana	0	3	1	1	8	4	-	-	False	75	30	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	3	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Artem Bondarenko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dmytro Kryskiv	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	27	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dmytro Riznyk	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	7.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	33	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Irakli Azarovi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaque	1	1	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	15	14	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kauã Elias	0	4	-	2	11	4	-	-	False	90	19	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	1	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2
👤 Kiril Fesyun	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lassina Traoré	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Meirelles	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Ferreira	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	15	37	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marian Shved	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marlon	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	-	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marlon Gomes	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	47	6	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Newerton Palmares	1	2	1	1	7	2	1	1	False	75	11	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	19	1	23	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Oleg Ocheretko	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	2	False	90	27	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	50	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Pedrinho	0	6	-	5	9	8	-	2	False	89	10	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	54	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Pedro Henrique	0	7	-	4	8	4	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Prosper Obah	0	1	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	68	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valeriy Bondar	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	True	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	82	-	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Vinícius Tobias	0	2	2	2	16	12	-	5	False	90	17	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Yehor Nazaryna	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	29	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Yukhym Konoplia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Lech Poznan and Shakhtar Donetsk

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		6	5	1	0	11	5	6	16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa		6	4	2	0	9	2	7	14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		6	4	1	1	14	7	7	13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		6	4	1	1	10	3	7	13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-3	6	4	1	1	10	5	5	13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		6	4	1	1	7	3	4	13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca		6	3	3	0	7	1	6	12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		6	3	2	1	6	3	3	11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace		6	3	1	2	11	6	5	10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan	1-3	6	3	1	2	12	8	4	10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10	W W D L L
13	Celje		6	3	1	2	8	7	1	10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina		6	3	0	3	8	5	3	9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		6	2	3	1	5	2	3	9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		6	2	3	1	5	4	1	9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		6	2	2	2	5	4	1	8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8	D L D W L
20	Drita		6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		6	1	4	1	6	5	1	7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Lech Poznan

0.0%

Shakhtar Donetsk

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Lech Poznan 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk

Current aggregate: 3-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

No Predictions Available

Predictions for this match have not been generated yet. Check back later or sync match data.

Lech Poznan

Shakhtar Donetsk

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

No Predictions Available

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)