Fiorentina vs Raków Częstochowa

UEFA Europa Conference League

Raków Częstochowa

12 Mar 2026

21:00

Stadio Artemio Franchi

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 2

Score Summary

Fiorentina

2 1

FT HT 0–0

Raków Częstochowa

C. Ndour 62'
A. Gudmundsson 90'

60' J. Brunes

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Fiorentina 1494 1494 — 0

51% Win

Raków Częstochowa 1500 1500 — N/A

xPi Expected win probability

0% Win

Fiorentina — 0.16 — N/A

0% Win

Raków Częstochowa — — — N/A

Top Performers

Top Rated

Fabiano Parisi

Fiorentina

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Cher Ndour

Fiorentina

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Rolando Mandragora

Fiorentina

7.3

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Niccolò Fortini

Fiorentina

6.9

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fiorentina 67% Raków Częstochowa 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

18 Shots 7

6 On Target 3

Form Context

Fiorentina

W L L W L

Raków Częstochowa

D D W W W

Smart Insight

Fiorentina controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Fiorentina generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa	2-1	14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk		13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca		12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace		10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan		10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		10	W W D L L
13	Celje		10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina	2-1	9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		8	D L D W L
20	Drita		8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

58 Possession 42

6 Shots 3

18 Shots 7

0 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 3

6 Shots On Goal 3

18 Total Shots 7

58 Ball Possession 42

413 Passes Accurate 278

491 Total Passes 361

84% Passes % 77%

6 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

12 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

8 Corner Kicks 3

12 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.77 expected_goals 0.78

0 goals_prevented 0

Fiorentina — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Guðmundsson	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	31	10	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	6	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Cher Ndour	0	1	1	1	8	6	-	1	False	90	27	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	37	-	41	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 David De Gea	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dodô	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	22	2	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eddy Kouadio	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	60	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edoardo Sadotti	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	67	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabiano Parisi	1	4	3	3	16	11	1	5	False	90	65	M	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	3	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Giovanni Fabbian	0	3	-	1	13	7	2	1	False	90	80	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	29	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jack Harrison	0	3	-	1	5	2	-	1	False	31	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jacopo Fazzini	0	5	-	1	10	5	-	-	False	59	22	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	34	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Luca Ranieri	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	True	90	6	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	72	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Luís Balbo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niccolò Fortini	0	1	-	-	8	5	-	1	False	68	29	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	2	38	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Nicolò Fagioli	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	44	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Christensen	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	53	G	6.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	14	-	30	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Piergiorgio Bonanno	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	63	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pietro Comuzzo	0	-	1	-	12	6	4	-	False	90	15	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	69	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Pietro Leonardelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Riccardo Braschi	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	8	61	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roberto Piccoli	0	-	-	-	11	4	2	2	False	82	91	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	11	-	-	0	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Robin Gosens	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	59	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	33	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Rolando Mandragora	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	82	8	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	44	5	52	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	3

Raków Częstochowa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adriano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ariel Mosór	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bogdan Mirčetić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bogdan Racovițan	0	-	1	-	15	7	3	1	False	90	25	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Dominik Czeremski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran Tudor	1	4	1	1	13	5	1	2	True	90	7	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	2
👤 Ivi López	0	1	2	-	5	-	1	-	False	60	10	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jerzy Napieraj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonatan Braut Brunes	0	2	1	1	10	5	-	4	False	80	18	F	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Kacper Trelowski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karol Struski	1	2	1	1	7	2	1	-	False	70	23	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lamine Diaby-Fadiga	0	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	30	80	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Rocha	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	10	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Bulat	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	20	5	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Michael Ameyaw	0	4	-	-	12	6	1	-	False	90	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Mitja Ilenič	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliwier Zych	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	48	G	6.9	False	0	2	4	-	-	14	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oskar Repka	0	-	-	-	9	6	-	3	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Patryk Makuch	0	1	-	-	15	8	3	2	False	90	9	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	17	1	25	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Stratos Svarnas	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tomasz Pieńko	0	2	1	1	7	2	2	-	False	60	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Zoran Arsenić	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	30	24	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Fiorentina and Raków Częstochowa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		6	5	1	0	11	5	6	16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa	2-1	6	4	2	0	9	2	7	14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		6	4	1	1	14	7	7	13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		6	4	1	1	10	3	7	13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk		6	4	1	1	10	5	5	13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		6	4	1	1	7	3	4	13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca		6	3	3	0	7	1	6	12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		6	3	2	1	6	3	3	11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace		6	3	1	2	11	6	5	10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan		6	3	1	2	12	8	4	10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10	W W D L L
13	Celje		6	3	1	2	8	7	1	10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina	2-1	6	3	0	3	8	5	3	9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		6	2	3	1	5	2	3	9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		6	2	3	1	5	4	1	9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		6	2	2	2	5	4	1	8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8	D L D W L
20	Drita		6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		6	1	4	1	6	5	1	7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Fiorentina

100.0%

Raków Częstochowa

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Fiorentina 2-1 Raków Częstochowa

Current aggregate: 4-2

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

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Fiorentina

Raków Częstochowa

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