AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace - Football Platform

AET

UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace

13' I. Sarr
63' E. Saborit
99' I. Sarr

19 Mar 2026

18:45

AEK Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 1 - 2

Score Summary

AEK Larnaca

1 2

AET HT 0–1

Crystal Palace

E. Saborit 63'

13' I. Sarr
99' I. Sarr

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

AEK Larnaca 1488 1488 — 0

49% Win

Crystal Palace 1481 1481 — 0

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

AEK Larnaca -0.02 -0.02 — 0.00

37% Win

Crystal Palace 0.11 0.29 ▲ 0.18

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ismaïla Sarr

Crystal Palace

8.7

8.7 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Ismaïla Sarr

Crystal Palace

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Daichi Kamada

Crystal Palace

7.6

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Petros Ioannou

AEK Larnaca

6.5

1 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

AEK Larnaca 30% Crystal Palace 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

30 Possession 70

6 Shots 29

3 On Target 7

Form Context

AEK Larnaca

W D D D W

Crystal Palace

L W L W D

Smart Insight

Crystal Palace carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Crystal Palace produced more shot pressure than expected.

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa		14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk		13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca	1-2	12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace	1-2	10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan		10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		10	W W D L L
13	Celje		10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina		9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		8	D L D W L
20	Drita		8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

30 Possession 70

3 Shots 7

6 Shots 29

2 Offsides 3

2 Shots Off Goal 15

3 Shots On Goal 7

6 Total Shots 29

30 Ball Possession 70

198 Passes Accurate 612

297 Total Passes 693

67% Passes % 88%

1 Blocked Shots 7

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

7 Fouls 21

2 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

1 Corner Kicks 10

4 Shots Insidebox 19

2 Shots Outsidebox 10

0.28 expected_goals 3.18

0 goals_prevented 0

AEK Larnaca — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Antreas Paraskevas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	51	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Charalampos Kyriakou	0	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	31	25	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Christos Loukaidis	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dimitris Dimitriou	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Enric Saborit	1	2	-	1	-	8	4	2	1	False	73	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	2
👤 Enzo Cabrera	0	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	3	False	36	30	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Godswill Ekpolo	0	0	1	-	-	8	1	-	-	False	120	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Gus Ledes	0	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	3	False	120	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Hrvoje Miličević	0	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	2	False	120	15	D	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Marcus Rohdén	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	89	8	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	13	1	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Mathías González	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pere Pons	0	0	-	1	-	12	6	1	2	False	105	17	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Petros Ioannou	1	0	4	1	1	17	8	1	3	False	120	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Riad Bajić	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	76	11	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Robert Mudražija	0	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	15	32	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valentin Roberge	0	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	41	27	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Waldo Rubio Marín	0	0	2	-	2	2	2	-	-	False	8	10	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yahav Gurfinkel	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	41	13	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zlatan Alomerović	0	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	2	False	120	1	G	7.5	False	0	2	4	-	-	18	-	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ángel García	0	0	1	-	-	5	1	-	1	True	79	14	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Đorđe Ivanović	0	0	4	1	3	8	3	1	-	False	79	9	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-

Crystal Palace — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Wharton	0	-	2	-	7	2	2	-	False	119	20	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	2	65	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Borna Sosa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brennan Johnson	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	60	11	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Chadi Riad	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chris Richards	1	1	-	1	9	3	1	1	False	76	26	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	1	67	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	-
👤 Daichi Kamada	0	1	2	1	6	2	2	-	False	120	18	M	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	92	5	101	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Muñoz	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	60	2	D	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	42	5	46	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Evann Guessand	0	-	1	-	7	3	2	-	False	76	29	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Ismaïla Sarr	0	2	-	2	7	5	1	2	False	120	7	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	2	2	23	1	27	-	-	-	3	11	-	-	-
👤 Jackson Izquierdo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaydee Canvot	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	-	False	83	23	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Jean-Philippe Mateta	0	-	1	-	7	3	1	1	False	37	14	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jefferson Lerma	0	-	1	-	5	2	1	1	False	44	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Justin Devenny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jørgen Strand Larsen	1	2	-	-	10	3	4	-	False	120	22	F	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Maxence Lacroix	1	-	-	-	13	9	4	-	True	120	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	93	-	100	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Nathaniel Clyne	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Remi Matthews	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rio Cardines	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	59	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrick Mitchell	0	1	-	-	8	5	1	1	False	120	3	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	3	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Walter Benitez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	120	44	G	7	False	0	1	2	-	-	21	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Will Hughes	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	19	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yéremy Pino	0	6	-	1	7	2	1	-	False	44	10	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	33	3	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: AEK Larnaca and Crystal Palace

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		6	5	1	0	11	5	6	16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa		6	4	2	0	9	2	7	14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		6	4	1	1	14	7	7	13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		6	4	1	1	10	3	7	13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk		6	4	1	1	10	5	5	13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		6	4	1	1	7	3	4	13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca	1-2	6	3	3	0	7	1	6	12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		6	3	2	1	6	3	3	11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace	1-2	6	3	1	2	11	6	5	10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan		6	3	1	2	12	8	4	10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10	W W D L L
13	Celje		6	3	1	2	8	7	1	10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina		6	3	0	3	8	5	3	9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		6	2	3	1	5	2	3	9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		6	2	3	1	5	4	1	9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		6	2	2	2	5	4	1	8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8	D L D W L
20	Drita		6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		6	1	4	1	6	5	1	7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

AEK Larnaca

0.0%

Crystal Palace

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Crystal Palace 0-0 AEK Larnaca

Current aggregate: 2-1

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

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AEK Larnaca

Crystal Palace

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

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Bookmakers (Full API Markets)