Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan

UEFA Europa Conference League

Lech Poznan

19 Mar 2026

21:00

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 3

Score Summary

Shakhtar Donetsk

1 2

FT HT 0–2

Lech Poznan

J. Moutinho 67'

13' M. Ishak
45' M. Ishak

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Shakhtar Donetsk 1514 1514 — 0

49% Win

Lech Poznan 1508 1508 — 0

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Shakhtar Donetsk 0.00 0.00 — N/A

36% Win

Lech Poznan -0.02 -0.02 — 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

Mikael Ishak

Lech Poznan

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mikael Ishak

Lech Poznan

8.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Pedrinho

Shakhtar Donetsk

6.7

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Pedro Henrique

Shakhtar Donetsk

7.0

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Shakhtar Donetsk 12% Lech Poznan 88%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

10 Shots 15

1 On Target 7

Form Context

Shakhtar Donetsk

L W W W D

Lech Poznan

L L W D W

Smart Insight

Lech Poznan carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Lech Poznan produced more shot pressure than expected.

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa		14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-2	13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca		12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace		10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan	1-2	10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		10	W W D L L
13	Celje		10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina		9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		8	D L D W L
20	Drita		8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

56 Possession 44

1 Shots 7

10 Shots 15

0 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 5

1 Shots On Goal 7

10 Total Shots 15

56 Ball Possession 44

424 Passes Accurate 310

481 Total Passes 378

88% Passes % 82%

3 Blocked Shots 3

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

10 Fouls 7

1 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 5

6 Shots Insidebox 11

4 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.43 expected_goals 2.22

0 goals_prevented 0

Shakhtar Donetsk — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alaa Ghram	1	2	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	18	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Alisson Santana	0	0	10	2	5	15	7	1	2	False	80	30	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Artem Bondarenko	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Denys Tvardovskyi	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dmytro Riznyk	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	7.2	False	0	2	5	-	-	22	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eguinaldo	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	7	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Irakli Azarovi	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaque	0	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	28	14	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kauã Elias	0	0	1	-	1	6	2	1	-	False	80	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	16	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Kiril Fesyun	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lassina Traoré	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	10	2	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Meirelles	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Ferreira	0	0	2	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	10	37	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marian Shved	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marlon	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	86	-	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Newerton Palmares	0	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	85	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Oleg Ocheretko	0	0	1	1	-	10	3	2	1	False	90	27	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Pedrinho	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	2	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Pedro Henrique	0	0	4	-	3	9	8	-	1	False	90	13	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	1	61	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	4
👤 Prosper Obah	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	68	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Tobias	0	0	3	-	2	5	4	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Yehor Nazaryna	0	0	2	-	2	7	4	3	1	False	62	29	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	50	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Yukhym Konoplia	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Lech Poznan — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ali Gholizadeh	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	22	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Antoni Kozubal	0	2	1	1	9	6	1	1	False	90	43	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	40	-	-	0	-	1	3	-	1	3
👤 Antonio Milić	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	16	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	58	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Bartosz Mrozek	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	32	-	34	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gisli Thordarson	0	1	-	1	6	5	-	-	False	83	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	20	-	-	0	-	1	2	1	1	2
👤 Joel Pereira	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	2	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	22	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 João Moutinho	0	1	4	1	9	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	52	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Leo Bengtsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	14	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Luis Palma	0	1	2	-	9	3	-	-	False	68	77	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mateusz Pruchniewski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateusz Skrzypczak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	72	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michal Gurgul	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikael Ishak	1	1	-	-	8	3	1	2	True	90	9	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	2	1	16	1	18	-	-	1	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Rodríguez	0	-	2	-	10	6	2	4	False	77	99	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	21	1	24	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Patrik Wålemark	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	13	10	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Plamen Andreev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Gumny	0	2	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	45	20	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Sammy Dudek	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taofeek Ismaheel	0	1	1	-	7	2	1	-	False	68	88	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	1	25	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Timothy Ouma	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Mońka	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	1	False	90	27	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yannick Agnero	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	14	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Shakhtar Donetsk and Lech Poznan

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Strasbourg		6	5	1	0	11	5	6	16	D W W W W
2	Raków Częstochowa		6	4	2	0	9	2	7	14	D D W W W
3	AEK Athens FC		6	4	1	1	14	7	7	13	W D W W W
4	Sparta Praha		6	4	1	1	10	3	7	13	L D W W W
5	Rayo Vallecano		6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13	D W L W W
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-2	6	4	1	1	10	5	5	13	L W W W D
7	FSV Mainz 05		6	4	1	1	7	3	4	13	W W L D W
8	AEK Larnaca		6	3	3	0	7	1	6	12	W D D D W
9	Lausanne		6	3	2	1	6	3	3	11	W D L D W
10	Crystal Palace		6	3	1	2	11	6	5	10	L W L W D
11	Lech Poznan	1-2	6	3	1	2	12	8	4	10	L L W D W
12	Samsunspor		6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10	W W D L L
13	Celje		6	3	1	2	8	7	1	10	W W L L D
14	AZ Alkmaar		6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10	W L W W D
15	Fiorentina		6	3	0	3	8	5	3	9	W L L W L
16	HNK Rijeka		6	2	3	1	5	2	3	9	W D D W D
17	Jagiellonia		6	2	3	1	5	4	1	9	D D W L D
18	Omonia Nicosia		6	2	2	2	5	4	1	8	D D W W L
19	FC Noah		6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8	D L D W L
20	Drita		6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8	D W W L L
21	KuPS		6	1	4	1	6	5	1	7	D W L D D
22	Shkendija		6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7	W D L W L
23	Zrinjski		6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7	L L W L D
24	Sigma Olomouc		6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	D W W L L
25	Universitatea Craiova		6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7	D W W L L
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC		6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7	W D L W L
27	Dynamo Kyiv		6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6	L W L L W
28	Legia Warszawa		6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6	W L L L W
29	Slovan Bratislava		6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6	L L W L W
30	Breidablik		6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5	D L D W L
31	Shamrock Rovers		6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4	L D L L W
32	BK Hacken		6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3	D L L D L
33	Hamrun Spartans		6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3	L L W L L
34	Shelbourne		6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2	L L L L D
35	Aberdeen		6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2	L D D L L
36	Rapid Vienna		6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1	L L L L D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Shakhtar Donetsk

100.0%

Lech Poznan

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Lech Poznan 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk

Current aggregate: 3-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

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Shakhtar Donetsk

Lech Poznan

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Bookmakers (Full API Markets)