Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Champions League

Lech Poznan

HT: 1–1

FK Crvena Zvezda

06 Aug 2025

20:30

Stadion Poznan

Score Summary

Lech Poznan

1 3

FT HT 1–1

FK Crvena Zvezda

M. Ishak 34'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Lech Poznan 1510 1505 ▼ -5

50% Win

FK Crvena Zvezda 1510 1515 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Lech Poznan 0.00 -0.02 ▼ -0.02

36% Win

FK Crvena Zvezda 0.00 0.04 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rade Krunić

FK Crvena Zvezda

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Rade Krunić

FK Crvena Zvezda

9.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Mirko Ivanić

FK Crvena Zvezda

6.9

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Joel Pereira

Lech Poznan

6.0

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lech Poznan 40% FK Crvena Zvezda 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

11 Shots 12

4 On Target 6

Form Context

Lech Poznan

No recent form available

FK Crvena Zvezda

No recent form available

Smart Insight

FK Crvena Zvezda carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors FK Crvena Zvezda after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.2%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 37.2%

Expected Goals 1.59 - 1.59

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

60 Possession 40

4 Shots 6

11 Shots 12

1 Offsides 3

4 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 6

11 Total Shots 12

60 Ball Possession 40

432 Passes Accurate 260

516 Total Passes 349

84% Passes % 74%

3 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

13 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 4

5 Shots Insidebox 8

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Lech Poznan — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Douglas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ali Gholizadeh	0	3	-	2	6	3	1	-	False	64	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Antoni Kozubal	0	1	-	1	8	8	-	-	False	71	43	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Antonio Milić	0	-	-	-	9	6	2	1	False	90	16	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	-	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Bartosz Mrozek	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.6	False	0	3	3	-	-	21	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Fiabema	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Jagiełło	1	1	-	-	10	4	1	3	False	71	24	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Szymczak	0	2	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	27	17	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gisli Thordarson	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	20	23	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	2
👤 Joel Pereira	0	3	2	1	16	9	1	1	False	82	2	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 João Moutinho	0	1	2	1	11	7	1	3	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	35	3	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Kornel Lisman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Krzysztof Bąkowski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Bengtsson	0	3	-	1	10	3	1	-	False	64	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	-	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Luis Palma	0	1	2	-	10	4	1	-	False	90	77	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	29	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Mateusz Pruchniewski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateusz Skrzypczak	0	-	-	-	10	7	3	1	False	90	72	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	1	76	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Michal Gurgul	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikael Ishak	0	2	-	2	5	4	-	-	True	90	9	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Rodríguez	0	1	-	-	6	1	2	1	False	27	99	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Gumny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	20	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Timothy Ouma	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	20	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Wojciech Mońka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

FK Crvena Zvezda — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Katai	0	-	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	13	10	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Bruno Duarte	0	3	2	3	14	7	-	-	False	78	17	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	20	-	24	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	2
👤 Cherif Ndiaye	0	2	-	-	13	3	3	2	False	78	9	F	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	3	6	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Guteša	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	77	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mahmudu Bajo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Arnautović	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	13	89	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	1	3	-	-	16	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miloš Veljković	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	13	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Milson	0	1	-	1	5	4	1	1	False	45	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Mirko Ivanić	0	3	1	1	12	5	1	1	True	75	4	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	12	5	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Nair Tiknizyan	0	2	2	1	13	8	-	1	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Nikola Stanković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omri Glazer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Peter Olayinka	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	16	14	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Rade Krunić	1	2	2	-	11	6	1	1	False	90	33	M	9.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	34	-	37	-	-	-	2	2	-	3	2
👤 Rodrigão	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Shavy Warren Babicka	0	3	-	-	6	-	1	-	False	45	80	F	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Leković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timi Max Elšnik	0	3	1	1	8	3	1	1	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	31	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	1
👤 Vasilije Kostov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Veljko Milosavljević	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vladimir Lučić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Young-woo Seol	0	1	-	-	7	5	-	2	False	90	66	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lech Poznan and FK Crvena Zvezda

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lech Poznan and FK Crvena Zvezda

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.2%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

37.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lech Poznan 1.59

FK Crvena Zvezda 1.59

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lech Poznan

FK Crvena Zvezda

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)