Benfica vs Qarabag - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Benfica

HT: 2–1

Qarabag

16 Sep 2025

21:00

Estádio da Luz

Score Summary

Benfica

2 3

FT HT 2–1

Qarabag

E. Barrenechea 6'
V. Pavlidis 16'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Benfica 1515 1510 ▼ -5

50% Win

Qarabag 1517 1525 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Benfica 0.00 0.28 ▲ 0.28

36% Win

Qarabag -0.01 -0.69 ▼ -0.69

Top Performers

Top Rated

Camilo Duran

Qarabag

8.3

8.3 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Enzo Barrenechea

Benfica

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Kady Borges

Qarabag

6.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Matheus Silva

Qarabag

8.2

7 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Benfica 38% Qarabag 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

14 Shots 10

3 On Target 5

Form Context

Benfica

L W W L W

Qarabag

D L L W L

Smart Insight

Qarabag carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Benfica generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Qarabag after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.3%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 34.1%

Expected Goals 1.66 - 1.52

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

53 Possession 47

3 Shots 5

14 Shots 10

1 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 3

3 Shots On Goal 5

14 Total Shots 10

53 Ball Possession 47

408 Passes Accurate 352

477 Total Passes 432

86% Passes % 81%

6 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

8 Corner Kicks 3

6 Shots Insidebox 9

8 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.38 expected_goals 1.52

0 goals_prevented 0

Benfica — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amar Dedić	3	-	2	7	6	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	50	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Anatoliy Trubin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	3	2	-	-	20	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andreas Schjelderup	3	-	1	10	3	4	1	False	70	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 António Silva	-	1	-	7	6	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Diogo Prioste	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	86	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Enzo Barrenechea	2	-	1	14	8	-	1	False	90	5	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	67	-	74	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	4
👤 Franjo Ivanović	1	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	20	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fredrik Aursnes	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	70	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	18	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Georgiy Sudakov	1	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	90	10	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	45	2	51	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Gianluca Prestianni	2	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	20	25	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Gonçalo Oliveira	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	64	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Henrique Araújo	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	39	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Rêgo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	84	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Veloso	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	68	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Barreiro	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	18	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Santos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	71	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolás Otamendi	-	1	-	11	5	3	1	True	90	30	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Rafael Obrador	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Richard Ríos	2	3	1	12	4	1	1	False	79	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	37	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Samuel Dahl	1	-	-	5	-	2	-	False	90	26	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Samuel Soares	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Araújo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vangelis Pavlidis	3	1	2	5	3	-	-	False	79	14	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	2	15	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1

Qarabag — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abbas Hüseynov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Abdellah Zoubir	3	-	1	8	3	-	1	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	46	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Bahlul Mustafazada	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	34	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Bədavi Hüseynov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Camilo Duran	2	-	2	10	5	1	2	False	89	17	F	8.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	6	1	11	-	-	-	2	3	1	-	-
👤 Chris Kouakou	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Bolt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elvin Jafarguliyev	2	3	1	10	6	-	-	False	77	44	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Emmanuel Addai	2	1	-	5	-	-	-	False	24	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabijan Buntić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	97	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kady Borges	2	2	1	9	4	-	1	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	4	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Kevin Medina	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	90	81	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Leandro Andrade	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	66	15	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Marko Janković	3	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	77	8	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	41	1	50	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Mateusz Kochalski	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	99	G	6.2	False	0	2	1	-	-	23	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Silva	-	-	-	21	16	1	6	False	90	2	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	7
👤 Musa Qurbanlı	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	22	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oleksiy Kashchuk	1	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	13	21	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Pedro Bicalho	-	2	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	35	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Samy Mmaee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toral Bayramov	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	13	27	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Benfica and Qarabag

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag	2-3	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica	2-3	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Benfica and Qarabag

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.3%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

34.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Benfica 1.66

Qarabag 1.52

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Benfica

Qarabag

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)