Real Madrid vs Marseille - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

HT: 1–1

Marseille

16 Sep 2025

21:00

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Stadium

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Madrid, Spain

Capacity: 85454 Surface: grass Address: Avenida de Concha Espina 1, Chamartín

Score Summary

Real Madrid

2 1

FT HT 1–1

Marseille

K. Mbappe 29'
K. Mbappe 81'

22' T. Weah

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Real Madrid 1519 1524 ▲ 5

47% Win

Marseille 1500 1495 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

52% Win

Real Madrid 0.22 0.83 ▲ 0.61

32% Win

Marseille 0.09 0.28 ▲ 0.19

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gerónimo Rulli

Marseille

9.6

9.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

8.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

8.2

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Real Madrid

6.3

0 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Madrid 75% Marseille 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

28 Shots 15

15 On Target 5

Form Context

Real Madrid

L W L W L

Marseille

L W W L L

Smart Insight

Real Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.8%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 29.1%

Expected Goals 1.78 - 1.39

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

43 Possession 57

15 Shots 5

28 Shots 15

1 Offsides 3

8 Shots Off Goal 8

15 Shots On Goal 5

28 Total Shots 15

43 Ball Possession 57

344 Passes Accurate 455

402 Total Passes 524

86% Passes % 87%

5 Blocked Shots 2

4 Goalkeeper Saves 13

9 Fouls 14

1 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

9 Corner Kicks 4

20 Shots Insidebox 10

8 Shots Outsidebox 5

3.65 expected_goals 0.73

1 goals_prevented 1

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	0	0	2	1	-	11	4	-	3	False	73	15	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	2	37	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	1	1	2	-	5	-	2	-	False	90	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	3	56	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	5	-
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	27	21	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	10	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Carvajal	1	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	67	2	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	29	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 David Alaba	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	53	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	0	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	True	90	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	51	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fran García	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran González	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	0	7	-	3	12	6	1	1	False	63	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	16	-	-	0	-	3	5	-	-	2
👤 Gonzalo García	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	0	5	1	3	10	4	-	1	False	90	10	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	2	1	25	6	29	-	-	2	-	5	7	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	0	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	17	17	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rodrygo	0	0	3	1	2	9	5	-	2	False	63	11	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	3	20	-	-	0	1	2	3	-	1	1
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	1	4	-	-	18	-	27	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trent Alexander-Arnold	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	5	12	D	-	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	0	3	1	1	4	1	-	-	False	27	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Carreras	0	1	3	-	1	11	6	2	2	False	90	18	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Éder Militão	0	1	-	-	-	5	-	3	-	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	31	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine Gouiri	0	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	12	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amir Murillo	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	12	62	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angel Gomes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	23	18	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Benjamin Pavard	1	-	2	-	8	4	2	-	False	88	28	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Bilal Nadir	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	9	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Darryl Bakola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	1	-	1	12	10	-	2	False	78	33	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	27	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Facundo Medina	1	-	1	-	4	2	2	-	False	90	32	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	-	80	1	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	-	1	-	8	2	4	1	False	67	19	M	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	37	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	9.6	False	0	2	13	-	-	22	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	24	14	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jelle Van Neck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	1	2	1	10	6	1	-	True	90	5	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	4
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	2	2	1	9	3	1	-	False	90	10	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	28	3	36	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	2
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	1	-	1	5	3	1	-	False	66	17	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	3	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	2	False	90	97	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	-	24	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	0	1	-	-	9	7	1	2	False	90	23	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	82	4	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Robinio Vaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timothy Weah	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	78	22	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	1	22	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Marseille

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid	2-1	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille	2-1	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Marseille

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.8%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

29.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.78

Marseille 1.39

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Madrid

Marseille

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)