Kairat Almaty vs Real Madrid - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Kairat Almaty

HT: 0–1

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

30 Sep 2025

18:45

Almaty Central Stadium

Score Summary

Kairat Almaty

0 5

FT HT 0–1

Real Madrid

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

Kairat Almaty 1495 1488 ▼ -7

55% Win

Real Madrid 1530 1536 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Kairat Almaty -0.16 -0.71 ▼ -0.55

41% Win

Real Madrid 0.34 0.83 ▲ 0.48

Top Performers

Top Rated

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

9.7

9.7 rating · 81 min

Most Clinical

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

9.7

3 goals

Best Creator

Arda Güler

Real Madrid

6.9

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Dean Huijsen

Real Madrid

8.3

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Kairat Almaty 25% Real Madrid 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

33 Possession 67

11 Shots 20

4 On Target 12

Form Context

Kairat Almaty

L L L L L

Real Madrid

L W L W L

Smart Insight

Real Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Real Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.0%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 39.4%

Expected Goals 1.54 - 1.64

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

33 Possession 67

4 Shots 12

11 Shots 20

1 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 12

11 Total Shots 20

33 Ball Possession 67

225 Passes Accurate 544

294 Total Passes 617

77% Passes % 88%

1 Blocked Shots 2

7 Goalkeeper Saves 4

6 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 6

4 Shots Insidebox 13

7 Shots Outsidebox 7

0.43 expected_goals 3.54

0 goals_prevented 0

Kairat Almaty — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adilet Sadybekov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aleksandr Martynovich	0	-	1	-	7	5	-	-	True	90	14	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Aleksandr Mrynskiy	0	2	2	1	10	4	-	-	False	90	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Aleksandr Shirobokov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arad Ofri	1	1	1	1	11	5	3	2	False	64	15	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Bakhtiyar Aldashev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	98	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Damir Kasabulat	0	-	3	-	7	2	-	1	False	90	4	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Dastan Satpaev	0	-	1	-	4	2	1	-	False	80	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Dias Reimov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmilson	0	-	1	-	6	2	-	1	False	25	26	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Egor Sorokin	0	-	2	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	80	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Erkin Tapalov	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	65	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Giorgi Zaria	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	10	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorginho	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	65	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Jug Stanojev	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	25	33	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lev Kurgin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luís Mata	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	2	40	-	-	-	2	3	1	1	2
👤 Olzhas Baibek	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	26	17	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ricardinho	0	2	1	1	8	2	-	-	False	10	99	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sherkhan Kalmurza	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	90	82	G	6	False	0	5	7	-	-	14	-	23	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valeriy Gromyko	1	-	1	-	13	5	1	1	False	80	55	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	4

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	3	1	2	8	4	1	1	False	80	15	M	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	34	4	41	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	80	14	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	55	-	60	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Brahim Díaz	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	20	21	M	7.3	True	0	-	1	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Dani Ceballos	-	4	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	19	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	101	1	106	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 David Alaba	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 David Jiménez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	4	-	4	16	13	2	1	False	90	24	D	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	56	1	68	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	1	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	10	6	M	7.6	True	0	-	1	-	13	-	15	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Endrick	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran García	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	20	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	50	1	54	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Franco Mastantuono	3	-	-	10	3	2	2	False	70	30	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	29	1	32	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Gonzalo García	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	16	F	6.6	True	1	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	10	5	M	7	True	0	-	-	-	14	1	16	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kylian Mbappé	4	-	2	6	3	-	1	False	81	10	F	9.7	False	0	-	3	-	30	3	37	-	-	1	-	5	8	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	45	1	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrygo	6	-	4	7	4	-	-	False	20	11	F	7.5	True	1	-	-	-	21	2	23	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	1	4	-	-	23	1	29	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	3	-	2	10	3	3	-	True	70	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	22	1	29	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Álvaro Carreras	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Kairat Almaty and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid	0-5	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty	0-5	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Kairat Almaty and Real Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.0%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

39.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Kairat Almaty 1.54

Real Madrid 1.64

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Kairat Almaty

Real Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)