Pafos vs Bayern München - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Pafos

HT: 1–4

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

30 Sep 2025

21:00

Alphamega Stadium

Score Summary

Pafos

1 5

FT HT 1–4

Bayern München

M. Orsic 45'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Pafos 1519 1512 ▼ -7

53% Win

Bayern München 1538 1546 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

33% Win

Pafos -0.05 -0.38 ▼ -0.33

50% Win

Bayern München 0.62 1.57 ▲ 0.95

Top Performers

Top Rated

Harry Kane

Bayern München

9.2

9.2 rating · 64 min

Most Clinical

Harry Kane

Bayern München

9.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Michael Olise

Bayern München

8.6

4 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

David Goldar

Pafos

6.5

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Pafos 12% Bayern München 88%

Key Stats Snapshot

33 Possession 67

6 Shots 26

2 On Target 15

Form Context

Pafos

W D L L W

Bayern München

W L W W W

Smart Insight

Bayern München carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayern München produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 28.8%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 46.1%

Expected Goals 1.39 - 1.79

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	1-5	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

33 Possession 67

2 Shots 15

6 Shots 26

N/A Offsides N/A

3 Shots Off Goal 7

2 Shots On Goal 15

6 Total Shots 26

33 Ball Possession 67

265 Passes Accurate 640

352 Total Passes 720

75% Passes % 89%

1 Blocked Shots 4

10 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

2 Corner Kicks 6

4 Shots Insidebox 21

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

0.39 expected_goals 4.54

0 goals_prevented 0

Pafos — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anderson Silva	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	59	33	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Bruno Langa	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	31	25	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 David Goldar	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	-	True	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	2
👤 David Luiz	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	59	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	1
👤 Derrick Luckassen	0	1	1	1	10	7	2	-	False	90	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Domingos Quina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	24	8	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Šunjić	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	90	26	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jajá	0	3	1	2	9	7	-	3	False	59	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jay Gorter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Correia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	77	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ken Sema	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	12	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kostas Pileas	0	-	1	-	5	1	2	1	False	79	2	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Landry Dimata	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	31	10	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mislav Oršić	1	1	2	1	6	1	3	-	False	90	17	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	2	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Mons Bassouamina	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	31	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Neofytos Michael	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	93	G	7.9	False	0	5	10	-	-	23	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Petros Petrou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pêpê	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	88	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Vlad Dragomir	0	-	-	-	4	-	-	-	False	66	30	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	-

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	-	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	90	45	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	104	1	110	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Dayot Upamecano	-	1	-	4	3	-	-	False	73	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Harry Kane	2	-	1	6	2	1	1	False	64	9	M	9.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	25	4	29	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	17	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Kimmich	-	1	-	3	2	-	2	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	82	3	94	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kim Min-jae	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	83	27	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lennart Karl	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	17	42	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	20	-	-	-	-	3	-	1	-
👤 Leon Goretzka	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Klanac	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Díaz	2	-	2	8	4	-	2	False	45	14	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	29	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Manuel Neuer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	1	-	-	29	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	3	1	2	6	4	1	1	False	73	17	M	8.6	False	2	0	-	1	-	38	4	46	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Nicolas Jackson	3	1	1	10	3	1	2	False	90	11	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	1	-	30	1	35	-	-	-	5	6	-	-	-
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	22	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	62	5	74	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Sacha Boey	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	26	23	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Serge Gnabry	-	1	-	4	2	1	-	False	45	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Sven Ulreich	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Bischof	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wisdom Mike	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Pafos and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	1-5	8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos	1-5	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Pafos and Bayern München

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

28.8%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

46.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Pafos 1.39

Bayern München 1.79

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Pafos

Bayern München

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)