Union St. Gilloise vs Newcastle

UEFA Champions League

Union St. Gilloise

HT: 0–2

Newcastle

01 Oct 2025

18:45

Lotto Park

Score Summary

Union St. Gilloise

0 4

FT HT 0–2

Newcastle

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Union St. Gilloise 1505 1500 ▼ -5

48% Win

Newcastle 1488 1496 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Union St. Gilloise 0.05 -0.20 ▼ -0.25

37% Win

Newcastle 0.03 0.22 ▲ 0.19

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nick Pope

Newcastle

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Anthony Gordon

Newcastle

7.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Anan Khalaili

Union St. Gilloise

6.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Kamiel Van De Perre

Union St. Gilloise

6.7

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Union St. Gilloise 50% Newcastle 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

17 Shots 13

6 On Target 6

Form Context

Union St. Gilloise

L W L L W

Newcastle

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Union St. Gilloise generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.5%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 36.9%

Expected Goals 1.60 - 1.58

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

43 Possession 57

6 Shots 6

17 Shots 13

1 Offsides 0

7 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 6

17 Total Shots 13

43 Ball Possession 57

322 Passes Accurate 439

391 Total Passes 511

82% Passes % 86%

4 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

15 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 1

7 Corner Kicks 5

7 Shots Insidebox 9

10 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.88 expected_goals 2.76

0 goals_prevented 0

Union St. Gilloise — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adem Zorgane	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	63	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	2
👤 Anan Khalaili	0	1	-	-	10	7	-	2	False	78	25	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Anouar Ait El Hadj	0	1	1	1	7	5	-	1	False	90	10	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	28	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	3
👤 Christian Burgess	1	-	-	-	6	3	3	1	True	90	16	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Fedde Leysen	0	-	-	-	6	4	2	1	False	90	48	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	1	41	2	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Guilherme Smith	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamiel Van De Perre	1	-	1	-	14	8	3	1	False	67	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	5
👤 Kevin Mac Allister	1	-	3	-	10	4	2	-	False	67	5	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Kevin Rodriguez	0	2	-	2	9	6	1	1	False	73	13	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Kjell Scherpen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	37	G	6.9	False	0	4	2	-	-	19	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Patris	0	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	27	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Mamadou Barry	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Giger	1	-	-	-	8	2	1	-	False	45	20	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Mathias Rasmussen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	23	4	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ousseynou Niang	0	3	2	-	10	2	2	1	False	90	22	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	18	1	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Promise David	0	-	-	-	5	-	-	-	False	45	12	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rob Schoofs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ross Sykes	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	23	26	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Sofiane Boufal	0	4	-	2	6	3	-	-	False	17	23	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Soulaimane Berradi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vic Chambaere	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	3	-	1	10	5	-	3	False	73	20	F	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	30	-	-	0	1	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	8	2	5	18	9	-	3	False	90	10	F	7.6	False	0	-	2	-	24	-	31	-	-	2	-	2	3	-	1	1
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	3	-	1	10	5	1	2	True	73	39	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	40	1	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Dan Burn	0	-	-	-	11	7	-	-	False	90	33	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	40	-	49	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Emil Krafth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Schär	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	5	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	1	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	17	11	M	7.6	True	0	-	1	-	11	-	13	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	1	-	1	-	11	3	2	-	False	59	7	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	26	1	31	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	83	2	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	50	2	57	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Lewis Hall	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	17	3	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lewis Miley	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	31	67	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	1	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	12	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	40	-	44	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	2	2
👤 Max Thompson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	6	-	-	15	-	22	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	3	-	1	11	3	1	2	False	73	27	F	6.6	False	0	-	1	-	21	-	24	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	1	-	-	8	4	1	2	False	90	8	M	6.7	False	1	-	-	-	64	1	72	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	1	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	48	-	51	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 William Osula	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	17	18	F	6.9	True	1	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Union St. Gilloise and Newcastle

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle	0-4	8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise	0-4	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Union St. Gilloise and Newcastle

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.5%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

36.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Union St. Gilloise 1.60

Newcastle 1.58

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Union St. Gilloise

Newcastle

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)