Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Club

UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 1–0

Athletic Club

01 Oct 2025

21:00

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

4 1

FT HT 1–0

Athletic Club

61' G. Guruzeta

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1529 1536 ▲ 7

44% Win

Athletic Club 1490 1483 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.24 0.66 ▲ 0.42

35% Win

Athletic Club 0.11 0.06 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Carney Chukwuemeka

Borussia Dortmund

8.2

8.2 rating · 63 min

Most Clinical

Daniel Svensson

Borussia Dortmund

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Marcel Sabitzer

Borussia Dortmund

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Julian Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

7.5

6 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 73% Athletic Club 27%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

13 Shots 6

8 On Target 3

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

L W D L L

Athletic Club

L D D W L

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Borussia Dortmund generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.5%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 31.2%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.44

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

52 Possession 48

8 Shots 3

13 Shots 6

3 Offsides 3

3 Shots Off Goal 3

8 Shots On Goal 3

13 Total Shots 6

52 Ball Possession 48

458 Passes Accurate 411

531 Total Passes 487

86% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

14 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 0

7 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.18 expected_goals 0.95

-1 goals_prevented -1

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	1	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	63	17	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	1	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	2	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	32	-	37	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	-
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	21	8	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fábio Silva	0	1	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	8	21	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	2	-	-	23	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	-	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	69	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Brandt	0	3	1	1	5	1	-	-	False	27	10	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	-	2	-	12	8	-	2	False	90	26	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	35	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	6
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	7	-	2	16	5	3	2	False	63	27	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	2	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	2	1	1	7	4	-	2	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	3	47	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	1
👤 Maximilian Beier	1	1	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	27	14	F	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Süle	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	70	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	68	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	1	-	1	7	5	3	2	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	81	-	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	1	1	1	14	5	2	4	False	87	9	F	7.3	False	1	0	-	1	1	12	1	14	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	1	-	1	5	2	2	1	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yan Couto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adrian Perez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Paredes	1	1	1	1	15	10	2	3	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Alejandro Rego	0	-	2	-	11	9	-	1	False	90	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	1	1	3	-	11	2	2	1	False	90	2	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Aymeric Laporte	0	2	-	1	7	5	1	-	False	45	14	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Daniel Vivian	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	45	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	-	-	-	6	4	2	1	False	45	11	F	8	True	0	0	-	1	1	18	2	20	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Ibon Sánchez	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	10	35	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Iñaki Williams	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	True	45	9	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	16	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jesús Areso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maroan Sannadi	0	-	-	-	8	2	1	1	False	80	21	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	2	False	45	18	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mikel Santos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Serrano	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	27	22	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Oihan Sancet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Navarro	0	7	-	3	11	5	1	-	False	90	23	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	27	-	31	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Unai Gómez	0	-	1	-	5	2	1	1	False	63	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	5.6	False	0	4	4	-	-	23	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	3	-	1	9	5	2	-	False	90	15	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Club

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund	4-1	8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club	4-1	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Club

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.5%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

31.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.73

Athletic Club 1.44

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

Athletic Club

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)