Bayer Leverkusen vs Paris Saint Germain

UEFA Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen

HT: 1–4

Paris Saint Germain

Coach : Luis Enrique

21 Oct 2025

21:00

BayArena

Stadium

BayArena

Leverkusen, Germany

Capacity: 30210 Surface: grass Address: Bismarckstr. 122-124

Score Summary

Bayer Leverkusen

2 7

FT HT 1–4

Paris Saint Germain

A. Garcia 38'
A. Garcia 54'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1526 1516 ▼ -10

51% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1531 1541 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

45% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.29 0.54 ▲ 0.25

35% Win

Paris Saint Germain 0.40 1.38 ▲ 0.98

Top Performers

Top Rated

Vitinha

Paris Saint Germain

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Aleix García

Bayer Leverkusen

8.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Nuno Mendes

Paris Saint Germain

8.2

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Bradley Barcola

Paris Saint Germain

7.9

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayer Leverkusen 27% Paris Saint Germain 73%

Key Stats Snapshot

29 Possession 71

6 Shots 24

3 On Target 8

Form Context

Bayer Leverkusen

W W D L W

Paris Saint Germain

L W D L D

Smart Insight

Paris Saint Germain carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Paris Saint Germain produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Paris Saint Germain after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.4%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 32.2%

Expected Goals 1.71 - 1.47

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

29 Possession 71

3 Shots 8

6 Shots 24

3 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 5

3 Shots On Goal 8

6 Total Shots 24

29 Ball Possession 71

267 Passes Accurate 731

315 Total Passes 777

85% Passes % 94%

0 Blocked Shots 11

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

8 Fouls 6

1 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 4

5 Shots Insidebox 14

1 Shots Outsidebox 10

2.50 expected_goals 2.86

0 goals_prevented 0

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	90	24	M	8	False	0	0	-	2	-	42	-	44	-	0	-	1	-	2	2	1	2	-
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	20	M	5.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	2	29	-	1	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Arthur	0	0	2	2	1	6	2	-	-	False	90	13	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Christian Kofane	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	52	35	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	0	-	0	1	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Claudio Echeverri	0	1	3	1	2	8	2	2	-	False	45	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	1	2	1	1	9	5	2	1	False	90	12	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3
👤 Eliesse Ben Seghir	0	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	26	17	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	13	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	0	1	1	-	5	-	-	-	False	64	19	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	9	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	0	-	2	-	10	4	2	2	False	81	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	31	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	0	1	1	1	6	2	-	1	False	45	30	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	11	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	0	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	38	44	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	16	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeremiah Mensah	0	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	9	27	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	0	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ken Izekor	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	0	0	1	1	-	9	4	1	-	False	90	5	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	38	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3
👤 Mark Flekken	0	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	4.5	False	0	7	1	-	-	18	-	24	-	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	1	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	True	33	8	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2

Paris Saint Germain — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Achraf Hakimi	0	0	1	-	-	6	4	-	1	True	90	2	D	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	87	3	96	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Bradley Barcola	0	0	4	-	3	8	6	1	-	False	72	29	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	46	3	46	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Désiré Doué	0	0	1	-	1	9	3	1	1	False	45	14	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	2	-	18	-	23	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Gonçalo Ramos	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Mbaye	0	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	18	49	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ilya Zabarnyi	1	1	1	-	-	5	3	2	-	False	37	6	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	23	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kang-in Lee	0	0	1	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	27	19	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	0	0	1	1	-	7	3	1	3	False	63	7	F	8	False	1	0	-	1	-	32	1	35	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Beraldo	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Chevalier	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	30	G	6.3	False	0	2	1	-	-	26	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Hernández	0	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	45	21	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marquinhos	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matvey Safonov	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nuno Mendes	0	0	3	-	2	5	3	-	-	False	90	25	D	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	67	5	75	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Ousmane Dembélé	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	27	10	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	26	4	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Quentin Ndjantou	0	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	14	47	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Renato Marin	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Senny Mayulu	0	0	2	-	2	6	6	-	1	False	63	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Vitinha	0	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	17	M	9.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	126	2	128	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Warren Zaïre-Emery	0	0	-	2	-	5	2	1	-	False	76	33	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Willian Pacho	0	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	51	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	70	-	73	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Paris Saint Germain

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain	2-7	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen	2-7	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Paris Saint Germain

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.4%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

32.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayer Leverkusen 1.71

Paris Saint Germain 1.47

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayer Leverkusen

Paris Saint Germain

BayArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)