Villarreal vs Manchester City - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Villarreal

HT: 0–2

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

17' E. Haaland
40' B. Silva

21 Oct 2025

21:00

Estadio de la Ceramica

Score Summary

Villarreal

0 2

FT HT 0–2

Manchester City

17' E. Haaland
40' B. Silva

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Villarreal 1515 1505 ▼ -10

52% Win

Manchester City 1527 1536 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

Villarreal 0.05 0.17 ▲ 0.13

37% Win

Manchester City 0.36 0.88 ▲ 0.52

Top Performers

Top Rated

Erling Haaland

Manchester City

8.3

8.3 rating · 86 min

Most Clinical

Bernardo Silva

Manchester City

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Savinho

Manchester City

7.7

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Santiago Mouriño

Villarreal

6.3

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Villarreal 25% Manchester City 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

34 Possession 66

11 Shots 10

2 On Target 6

Form Context

Villarreal

L L L L L

Manchester City

W L W L W

Smart Insight

Manchester City carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Manchester City after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.3%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 35.1%

Expected Goals 1.64 - 1.54

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

34 Possession 66

2 Shots 6

11 Shots 10

N/A Offsides N/A

7 Shots Off Goal 3

2 Shots On Goal 6

11 Total Shots 10

34 Ball Possession 66

282 Passes Accurate 623

335 Total Passes 672

84% Passes % 93%

2 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

17 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 2

1 Corner Kicks 3

7 Shots Insidebox 7

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.28 expected_goals 1.34

0 goals_prevented 0

Villarreal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrià Altimira	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alberto Moleiro	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	24	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Alfonso Pedraza	1	1	3	-	6	-	2	-	False	45	24	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Arnau Tenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayoze Perez	0	1	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	18	22	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dani Parejo	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	9	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Diego Conde	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Georges Mikautadze	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	66	9	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Gerard Moreno	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilias Akhomach	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Foyth	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	True	90	8	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Luiz Júnior	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	2	4	-	-	14	-	21	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manor Solomon	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Pépé	0	4	-	1	9	3	2	1	False	90	19	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	4	25	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Pape Gueye	1	1	1	-	7	3	1	3	False	81	18	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	49	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Rafa Marín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Renato Veiga	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Santi Comesaña	0	-	-	-	6	-	2	-	False	72	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Santiago Mouriño	1	1	2	-	18	10	4	4	False	90	15	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	6
👤 Sergi Cardona	0	-	1	-	4	3	1	2	False	45	23	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	2	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tajon Buchanan	0	2	1	-	5	-	2	-	False	66	17	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tani Oluwaseyi	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	24	21	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Thomas Partey	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	90	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	3	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bernardo Silva	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	True	90	20	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	61	1	67	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Erling Haaland	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	86	9	F	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	False	90	25	G	7.9	False	0	2	-	-	28	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Stones	0	-	-	-	8	7	-	2	False	90	5	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	73	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Joško Gvardiol	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	1	False	90	24	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	70	-	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Jérémy Doku	0	7	1	2	15	8	1	5	False	72	11	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Marcus Bettinelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Kovačić	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	33	8	M	7	True	0	-	-	-	35	2	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Matheus Nunes	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	3	False	90	27	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	97	-	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nathan Aké	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	0	2	-	1	6	2	1	-	False	57	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	52	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nico O'Reilly	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omar Marmoush	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	1	False	9	7	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oscar Bobb	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	18	52	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Phil Foden	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Aït-Nouri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Cherki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	10	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Lewis	0	3	-	1	6	2	2	-	False	73	82	M	6.6	False	1	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rúben Dias	1	1	-	1	5	4	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	114	-	117	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Savinho	0	5	-	5	8	6	1	-	False	86	26	M	7.7	False	1	-	-	-	37	5	43	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	1	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	17	4	M	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Villarreal and Manchester City

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City	0-2	8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal	0-2	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Villarreal and Manchester City

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.3%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

35.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Villarreal 1.64

Manchester City 1.54

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Villarreal

Manchester City

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)