Athletic Club vs Qarabag - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Athletic Club

HT: 1–1

Qarabag

22 Oct 2025

18:45

San Mamés

Score Summary

Athletic Club

3 1

FT HT 1–1

Qarabag

1' Leandro Andrade

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

44% Win

Athletic Club 1491 1502 ▲ 11

56% Win

Qarabag 1532 1524 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

51% Win

Athletic Club 0.14 0.06 ▼ -0.08

33% Win

Qarabag 0.05 -0.69 ▼ -0.74

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gorka Guruzeta

Athletic Club

9.3

9.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Gorka Guruzeta

Athletic Club

9.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Mikel Jauregizar

Athletic Club

7.9

4 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Kady Borges

Qarabag

6.9

3 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Athletic Club 56% Qarabag 44%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

21 Shots 9

5 On Target 4

Form Context

Athletic Club

L D D W L

Qarabag

D L L W L

Smart Insight

Athletic Club controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Athletic Club generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Athletic Club after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.5%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 28.5%

Expected Goals 1.80 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

60 Possession 40

5 Shots 4

21 Shots 9

1 Offsides 0

8 Shots Off Goal 1

5 Shots On Goal 4

21 Total Shots 9

60 Ball Possession 40

413 Passes Accurate 246

486 Total Passes 336

85% Passes % 73%

8 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

14 Fouls 5

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

8 Corner Kicks 3

13 Shots Insidebox 6

8 Shots Outsidebox 3

3.47 expected_goals 0.52

-1 goals_prevented -1

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Paredes	-	-	-	5	3	1	2	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	5	-
👤 Alejandro Rego	1	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	65	30	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	34	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Alex Padilla	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	-	1	-	3	1	1	1	False	65	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aymeric Laporte	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	14	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Daniel Vivian	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	-	1	-	9	3	2	1	False	90	11	F	9.3	False	0	0	-	2	1	14	-	15	-	-	-	4	5	-	1	1
👤 Iñaki Williams	2	-	-	4	1	-	-	True	38	9	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	3	-	1	6	3	-	-	False	25	16	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jesús Areso	1	-	1	5	3	2	-	False	25	12	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Maroan Sannadi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	-	4	-	13	7	-	-	False	90	18	M	7.9	False	2	0	-	-	-	52	4	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Mikel Vesga	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nico Serrano	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	4	-	-	10	2	1	1	False	65	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Oihan Sancet	3	-	1	10	4	3	-	False	81	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	3	35	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	3
👤 Robert Navarro	3	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	25	23	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Unai Gómez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	18	-	21	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	1	-	-	13	10	1	-	False	90	17	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	2	56	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	6
👤 Álex Berenguer	4	-	2	7	3	1	-	False	52	7	F	7.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	19	3	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Íñigo Lekue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Qarabag — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abbas Hüseynov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Abdellah Zoubir	3	-	2	10	6	1	2	True	90	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Bahlul Mustafazada	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	13	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	3	2	2
👤 Bədavi Hüseynov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Camilo Duran	1	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	67	17	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Chris Kouakou	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Bolt	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	18	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Elvin Jafarguliyev	2	3	1	10	5	-	2	False	90	44	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Emmanuel Addai	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	34	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Fabijan Buntić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	97	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hikmat Cabrayilzada	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kady Borges	4	1	1	13	7	-	3	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	2	45	-	-	-	1	1	1	5	3
👤 Kevin Medina	1	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	90	81	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	2
👤 Leandro Andrade	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	56	15	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	2	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marko Janković	1	-	1	6	4	-	2	False	34	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mateusz Kochalski	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	99	G	6.3	False	0	3	2	-	-	25	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Silva	4	-	1	14	6	1	2	False	79	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Nariman Akhundzade	-	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	67	7	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Oleksiy Kashchuk	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	23	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pedro Bicalho	2	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	56	35	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Samy Mmaee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toral Bayramov	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	23	27	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Qarabag

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag	3-1	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club	3-1	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Qarabag

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.5%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

28.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.80

Qarabag 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Athletic Club

Qarabag

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)