Chelsea vs Ajax - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Chelsea

HT: 4–1

Ajax

22 Oct 2025

21:00

Stamford Bridge

Stadium

Stamford Bridge

London, England

Capacity: 41841 Surface: grass Address: Fulham Road

Score Summary

Chelsea

5 1

FT HT 4–1

Ajax

33' W. Weghorst

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Chelsea 1512 1522 ▲ 9

47% Win

Ajax 1490 1485 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

Chelsea -0.05 0.81 ▲ 0.86

36% Win

Ajax 0.00 -0.11 ▼ -0.11

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jamie Gittens

Chelsea

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Moisés Caicedo

Chelsea

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Jamie Gittens

Chelsea

7.9

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Youri Baas

Ajax

5.9

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Chelsea 91% Ajax 9%

Key Stats Snapshot

66 Possession 34

22 Shots 2

10 On Target 1

Form Context

Chelsea

D W L W W

Ajax

L L W W L

Smart Insight

Chelsea controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Chelsea generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Chelsea after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.5%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 35.9%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.56

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	5-1	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

66 Possession 34

10 Shots 1

22 Shots 2

3 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 0

10 Shots On Goal 1

22 Total Shots 2

66 Ball Possession 34

557 Passes Accurate 241

601 Total Passes 314

93% Passes % 77%

8 Blocked Shots 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 5

15 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 1

11 Corner Kicks 0

14 Shots Insidebox 2

8 Shots Outsidebox 0

3.65 expected_goals 1.05

-1 goals_prevented -1

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrey Santos	0	-	2	-	6	2	1	-	False	45	17	M	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	45	1	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Enzo Fernández	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	2	True	45	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	18	2	20	-	-	1	1	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Estêvão	1	6	-	2	12	3	2	1	False	90	41	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	34	2	37	-	-	1	1	3	6	-	1	-
👤 Facundo Buonanotte	0	3	1	2	12	6	1	2	False	90	40	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	12	G	6.5	False	0	1	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Gittens	0	6	-	3	9	4	-	-	False	90	11	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	26	5	28	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jorrel Hato	0	-	2	-	11	7	1	-	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Josh Acheampong	0	1	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	41	34	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	47	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Guiu	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	38	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Max Merrick	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moisés Caicedo	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	1	False	49	25	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	42	-	44	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Pedro Neto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Reece James	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Reggie Walsh	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	24	46	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roméo Lavia	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	66	45	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	51	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	76	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tosin Adarabioyo	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	45	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	44	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	23	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	41	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrique George	0	2	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	45	32	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	2	26	3	30	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Wesley Fofana	0	-	-	-	8	3	3	-	False	90	29	D	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	74	1	78	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	-

Ajax — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Gaaei	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	3	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davy Klaassen	0	0	1	1	1	6	4	-	1	False	45	18	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Don-Angelo Konadu	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerald Alders	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James McConnell	0	0	-	2	-	7	4	-	2	False	79	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Joeri Heerkens	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorthy Mokio	0	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	67	24	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	3	1	1
👤 Josip Šutalo	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	37	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	43	-	47	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Kenneth Taylor	1	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	True	17	8	M	3.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kian Fitz-Jim	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	28	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ko Itakura	0	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	1	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Lucas Rosa	0	0	1	3	1	13	8	-	1	False	84	2	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Mika Godts	0	0	2	-	1	9	3	-	-	False	84	11	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Oliver Edvardsen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oscar Gloukh	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	23	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rayane Bounida	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Moro	0	0	4	-	3	10	5	-	2	False	90	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	20	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Remko Pasveer	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	22	G	5.3	False	0	5	5	-	-	23	-	50	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vítězslav Jaroš	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wout Weghorst	0	1	1	-	-	12	5	2	3	False	45	25	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	11	1	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Youri Baas	0	0	1	1	-	13	8	2	1	False	90	15	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	41	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	6
👤 Youri Regeer	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Ajax

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	5-1	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax	5-1	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Ajax

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.5%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

35.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.62

Ajax 1.56

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Chelsea

Ajax

Stamford Bridge

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)