Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal

UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 1–0

Villarreal

25 Nov 2025

21:00

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

4 0

FT HT 1–0

Villarreal

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1542 1552 ▲ 10

50% Win

Villarreal 1542 1532 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.28 0.66 ▲ 0.37

36% Win

Villarreal 0.35 0.17 ▼ -0.18

Top Performers

Top Rated

Karim Adeyemi

Borussia Dortmund

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Serhou Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund

6.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Aarón Anselmino

Borussia Dortmund

7.3

1 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Yan Couto

Borussia Dortmund

6.6

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 80% Villarreal 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

67 Possession 33

13 Shots 10

8 On Target 2

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

L W D L L

Villarreal

L L L L L

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Borussia Dortmund generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.3%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 34.1%

Expected Goals 1.66 - 1.52

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

67 Possession 33

8 Shots 2

13 Shots 10

0 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 4

8 Shots On Goal 2

13 Total Shots 10

67 Ball Possession 33

571 Passes Accurate 250

628 Total Passes 312

91% Passes % 80%

2 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

17 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 1

1 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 2

11 Shots Insidebox 5

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

3.62 expected_goals 0.79

0 goals_prevented 0

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aarón Anselmino	0	-	2	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	28	D	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	79	1	85	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	1	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	22	17	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Cole Campbell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	2	-	-	9	4	3	1	False	90	24	M	8	False	0	-	1	-	33	-	42	-	0	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Emre Can	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	12	23	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	77	8	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	58	-	59	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Filippo Mané	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fábio Silva	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	22	21	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	8	1	8	-	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	1	-	-	23	-	24	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	13	7	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Brandt	0	6	1	4	13	7	1	1	False	68	10	F	7	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julien Duranville	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karim Adeyemi	1	7	-	6	19	12	3	4	False	90	27	F	9.2	False	0	-	1	-	34	-	43	-	0	-	1	2	3	-	-	2
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	2	False	77	20	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	52	-	56	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	1	True	90	4	D	9	False	0	-	-	-	93	-	98	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2	3
👤 Pascal Groß	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	13	M	7.2	True	1	-	-	-	12	1	13	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	-	False	68	9	F	6.9	False	0	-	2	-	12	-	15	-	1	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Silas Ostrzinski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	84	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	63	1	68	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	4	-
👤 Yan Couto	0	3	5	2	17	8	4	-	False	90	2	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	46	-	55	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	5

Villarreal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrià Altimira	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alberto Moleiro	0	3	1	1	6	1	1	-	False	25	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alfonso Pedraza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnau Tenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayoze Perez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Parejo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	10	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Georges Mikautadze	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Moreno	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilias Akhomach	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Foyth	1	1	-	1	5	4	1	-	True	52	8	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Luiz Júnior	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	4	3	-	-	7	-	10	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manor Solomon	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Pépé	0	2	-	-	5	1	-	1	False	65	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pape Gueye	0	2	2	-	9	3	2	3	False	90	18	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Pau Navarro	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	26	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafa Marín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	25	4	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Renato Veiga	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Santi Comesaña	0	4	1	3	11	6	1	1	False	74	14	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Santiago Mouriño	0	1	3	-	13	7	1	2	False	83	15	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Sergi Cardona	0	1	2	1	12	6	4	1	False	90	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	2	44	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Tajon Buchanan	0	5	3	2	16	9	-	5	False	83	17	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Tani Oluwaseyi	0	2	1	1	13	6	1	2	False	90	21	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Thomas Partey	0	-	2	-	5	2	-	1	False	65	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund	4-0	8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal	4-0	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.3%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

34.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.66

Villarreal 1.52

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

Villarreal

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)