Atalanta vs Chelsea - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Atalanta

HT: 0–1

Chelsea

09 Dec 2025

21:00

New Balance Arena

Score Summary

Atalanta

2 1

FT HT 0–1

Chelsea

G. Scamacca 55'
C. De Ketelaere 83'

25' Joao Pedro

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

Atalanta 1500 1511 ▲ 11

55% Win

Chelsea 1536 1525 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Atalanta 0.29 0.37 ▲ 0.07

33% Win

Chelsea 0.28 0.81 ▲ 0.53

Top Performers

Top Rated

Charles De Ketelaere

Atalanta

10.0

10.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Charles De Ketelaere

Atalanta

10.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Charles De Ketelaere

Atalanta

10.0

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Moisés Caicedo

Chelsea

6.9

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atalanta 44% Chelsea 56%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

14 Shots 10

4 On Target 5

Form Context

Atalanta

W W W L L

Chelsea

D W L W W

Smart Insight

Chelsea carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Atalanta generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atalanta after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.4%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 28.5%

Expected Goals 1.80 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	2-1	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

49 Possession 51

4 Shots 5

14 Shots 10

4 Offsides 2

3 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 5

14 Total Shots 10

49 Ball Possession 51

417 Passes Accurate 437

494 Total Passes 509

84% Passes % 86%

7 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

6 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

2 Corner Kicks 5

10 Shots Insidebox 6

4 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.72 expected_goals 1.37

0 goals_prevented 0

Atalanta — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	2	1	1	10	4	1	-	False	87	11	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	3	30	1	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Berat Djimsiti	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	19	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Charles De Ketelaere	2	1	1	13	6	-	5	False	90	17	F	10	False	1	0	-	1	-	27	3	30	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Daniel Maldini	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	70	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Zappacosta	1	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	73	77	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	31	3	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Gianluca Scamacca	-	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	72	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	19	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Giorgio Scalvini	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Honest Ahanor	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	19	69	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Isak Hien	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lazar Samardžić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenzo Bernasconi	1	2	1	3	1	-	-	False	90	47	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Brescianini	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Carnesecchi	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	29	G	7.2	False	0	1	4	-	-	25	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Sportiello	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	57	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Pašalić	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	3	8	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marten de Roon	-	3	-	10	6	1	1	True	90	15	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	35	1	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Nicola Zalewski	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	59	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Krstović	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	18	90	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Odilon Kossounou	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Raoul Bellanova	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	16	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sead Kolašinac	-	1	-	9	6	2	1	False	71	23	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Yunus Musah	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	3	6	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Éderson	2	1	2	10	7	-	2	False	87	13	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	24	49	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Andrey Santos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benoît Badiashile	0	-	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	62	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	2
👤 Enzo Fernández	0	-	1	-	10	3	2	3	False	67	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Estêvão	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Facundo Buonanotte	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Gittens	0	5	-	3	11	4	1	1	False	90	11	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	1	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Jorrel Hato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josh Acheampong	0	1	-	1	3	3	1	-	False	90	34	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	1
👤 João Pedro	0	3	1	1	12	3	-	-	False	90	20	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	1	26	-	-	-	2	3	1	-	-
👤 Malo Gusto	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	23	27	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	1	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Marc Guiu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Merrick	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moisés Caicedo	0	1	1	1	13	7	2	1	False	90	25	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Pedro Neto	0	3	1	2	5	2	-	-	False	66	7	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Reece James	0	2	1	1	5	1	1	-	True	90	24	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	48	3	53	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	-
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	2	2	-	-	37	-	48	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tosin Adarabioyo	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	14	4	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	1	-	-	-	5	2	3	-	False	45	23	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Tyrique George	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wesley Fofana	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	31	29	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atalanta and Chelsea

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	2-1	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta	2-1	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atalanta and Chelsea

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.4%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

28.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atalanta 1.80

Chelsea 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atalanta

Chelsea

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)