Qarabag vs Ajax - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Qarabag

HT: 1–1

Ajax

10 Dec 2025

18:45

Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Score Summary

Qarabag

2 4

FT HT 1–1

Ajax

C. Duran 10'
Matheus Silva 47'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Qarabag 1514 1502 ▼ -11

45% Win

Ajax 1476 1484 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

52% Win

Qarabag -0.18 -0.69 ▼ -0.51

32% Win

Ajax -0.23 -0.11 ▲ 0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Oscar Gloukh

Ajax

9.7

9.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Oscar Gloukh

Ajax

9.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Oscar Gloukh

Ajax

9.7

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Anton Gaaei

Ajax

8.0

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Qarabag 43% Ajax 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

17 Shots 20

6 On Target 8

Form Context

Qarabag

D L L W L

Ajax

L L W W L

Smart Insight

Ajax carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Ajax after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.7%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 27.4%

Expected Goals 1.83 - 1.35

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

47 Possession 53

6 Shots 8

17 Shots 20

1 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 7

6 Shots On Goal 8

17 Total Shots 20

47 Ball Possession 53

322 Passes Accurate 378

383 Total Passes 424

84% Passes % 89%

4 Blocked Shots 5

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

3 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 6

8 Shots Insidebox 11

9 Shots Outsidebox 9

1.10 expected_goals 1.60

-1 goals_prevented -1

Qarabag — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdellah Zoubir	4	-	2	12	6	-	2	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	49	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Bahlul Mustafazada	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-
👤 Bədavi Hüseynov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Camilo Duran	2	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	70	17	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Chris Kouakou	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Bolt	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	18	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elvin Jafarguliyev	3	1	-	4	-	-	-	False	87	44	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	31	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Emmanuel Addai	2	-	2	9	5	-	1	False	90	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	30	-	-	-	3	4	-	2	1
👤 Fabijan Buntić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	97	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joni Montiel	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	8	9	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Medina	2	-	2	12	10	-	3	False	90	81	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	3	56	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Leandro Andrade	2	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	59	15	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marko Janković	3	3	1	13	6	-	3	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	2	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Mateusz Kochalski	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	99	G	6.9	False	0	4	4	-	-	15	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Silva	2	2	-	13	8	-	3	False	87	2	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Musa Qurbanlı	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nariman Akhundzade	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	31	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oleksiy Kashchuk	3	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	20	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pedro Bicalho	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	87	35	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Samy Mmaee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toral Bayramov	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	8	27	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Ajax — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Bouwman	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	30	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	1
👤 Anton Gaaei	0	2	-	1	11	8	-	-	False	90	3	D	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	3	36	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	6
👤 Branco Van den Boomen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davy Klaassen	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	18	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Don-Angelo Konadu	0	1	1	1	5	2	1	1	False	25	19	F	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Joeri Heerkens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorthy Mokio	0	1	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	84	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	24	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Kasper Dolberg	0	2	-	2	7	4	2	-	False	65	9	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Kian Fitz-Jim	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	28	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ko Itakura	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	65	4	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Rosa	0	1	3	1	17	10	3	2	False	90	2	D	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	2	43	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	6
👤 Mika Godts	0	2	1	1	3	1	-	-	False	14	11	F	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	3	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mylo van der Lans	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Edvardsen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oscar Gloukh	0	4	1	2	9	4	1	-	False	90	10	F	9.7	False	0	0	-	2	-	37	4	41	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	2
👤 Owen Wijndal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayane Bounida	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Moro	0	1	-	-	6	-	2	-	False	76	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	2	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Remko Pasveer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sean Steur	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	-	False	76	48	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	34	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Vítězslav Jaroš	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	2	4	-	-	27	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Youri Baas	1	2	-	-	5	2	1	-	True	90	15	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Youri Regeer	0	-	1	-	4	1	2	-	False	25	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Qarabag and Ajax

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag	2-4	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax	2-4	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Qarabag and Ajax

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.7%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

27.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Qarabag 1.83

Ajax 1.35

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Qarabag

Ajax

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)