Qarabag vs Eintracht Frankfurt

UEFA Champions League

Qarabag

HT: 1–1

Eintracht Frankfurt

21 Jan 2026

18:45

Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Score Summary

Qarabag

3 2

FT HT 1–1

Eintracht Frankfurt

10' C. Y. Uzun
78' F. Chaibi

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Qarabag 1502 1512 ▲ 10

49% Win

Eintracht Frankfurt 1493 1484 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Qarabag -0.23 -0.69 ▼ -0.46

32% Win

Eintracht Frankfurt -0.29 -0.30 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Elvin Jafarguliyev

Qarabag

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Camilo Duran

Qarabag

7.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Elvin Jafarguliyev

Qarabag

7.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Arthur Theate

Eintracht Frankfurt

6.5

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Qarabag 50% Eintracht Frankfurt 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

11 Shots 8

5 On Target 5

Form Context

Qarabag

D L L W L

Eintracht Frankfurt

D L L L L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Qarabag generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Qarabag after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.3%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 26.9%

Expected Goals 1.84 - 1.34

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

58 Possession 42

5 Shots 5

11 Shots 8

1 Offsides 0

2 Shots Off Goal 3

5 Shots On Goal 5

11 Total Shots 8

58 Ball Possession 42

515 Passes Accurate 345

578 Total Passes 418

89% Passes % 83%

4 Blocked Shots 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

8 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

7 Corner Kicks 1

9 Shots Insidebox 6

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.78 expected_goals 1.21

-0.76 goals_prevented -0.76

Qarabag — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abbas Hüseynov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Abdellah Zoubir	0	3	-	2	8	5	2	3	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amin Ramazanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bahlul Mustafazada	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	13	D	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	51	-	52	1	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Bədavi Hüseynov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Camilo Duran	1	2	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	89	17	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Chris Kouakou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Bolt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elvin Jafarguliyev	0	2	1	2	8	5	-	2	False	90	44	D	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	50	2	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Emmanuel Addai	0	4	-	2	5	3	-	1	False	12	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabijan Buntić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	97	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joni Montiel	0	4	1	2	11	3	-	1	False	84	9	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Medina	0	-	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	90	81	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	92	-	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Leandro Andrade	0	2	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	84	15	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	26	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marko Janković	0	2	1	2	9	6	1	2	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	76	1	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Mateusz Kochalski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	99	G	6.7	False	0	2	3	-	-	22	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Silva	0	2	-	-	9	2	1	2	False	90	2	D	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	48	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Musa Qurbanlı	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	22	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nariman Akhundzade	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oleksiy Kashchuk	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	21	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pedro Bicalho	0	2	2	1	7	2	1	-	False	90	35	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	2	67	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Samy Mmaee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toral Bayramov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Staff	1	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	11	53	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ansgar Knauff	0	2	-	-	8	5	-	2	False	79	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	21	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Arthur Theate	0	1	1	1	8	7	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	49	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Aurèle Amenda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aurélio Buta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Can Uzun	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	2	False	71	42	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	-	34	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Ellyes Skhiri	0	-	1	-	8	5	1	-	False	90	15	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	47	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	5
👤 Farès Chaïbi	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	19	8	M	7	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	1	6	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Fousseny Doumbia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Larsson	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	85	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Jean-Mattéo Bahoya	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	11	19	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jens Grahl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kauã Santos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	40	G	6.2	False	0	3	3	-	-	18	-	24	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mahmoud Dahoud	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Götze	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	19	27	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Dills	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Dills	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Zetterer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nathaniel Brown	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	1	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	32	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Nnamdi Collins	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	False	85	34	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Oscar Højlund	0	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	6	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Rasmus Kristensen	1	1	1	-	10	5	3	-	False	90	13	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	2	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Ritsu Doan	0	5	4	4	15	7	1	-	False	71	20	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Robin Koch	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	True	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	31	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Qarabag and Eintracht Frankfurt

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag	3-2	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-2	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Qarabag and Eintracht Frankfurt

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.3%

Home Win

24.8%

Draw

26.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Qarabag 1.84

Eintracht Frankfurt 1.34

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Qarabag

Eintracht Frankfurt

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)