Chelsea vs Pafos - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Chelsea

HT: 0–0

Pafos

78' M. Caicedo

21 Jan 2026

21:00

Stamford Bridge

Stadium

Stamford Bridge

London, England

Capacity: 41841 Surface: grass Address: Fulham Road

Score Summary

Chelsea

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Pafos

M. Caicedo 78'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

54% Win

Chelsea 1536 1545 ▲ 9

46% Win

Pafos 1509 1500 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Chelsea 0.55 0.81 ▲ 0.26

31% Win

Pafos -0.30 -0.38 ▼ -0.08

Top Performers

Top Rated

Moisés Caicedo

Chelsea

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Moisés Caicedo

Chelsea

9.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Moisés Caicedo

Chelsea

9.0

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Alejandro Garnacho

Chelsea

7.3

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Chelsea 78% Pafos 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

71 Possession 29

21 Shots 4

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Chelsea

D W L W W

Pafos

W D L L W

Smart Insight

Chelsea controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Chelsea generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Chelsea after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.7%

Draw 24.6%

Away Win 25.7%

Expected Goals 1.87 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	1-0	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

71 Possession 29

7 Shots 2

21 Shots 4

N/A Offsides N/A

7 Shots Off Goal 0

7 Shots On Goal 2

21 Total Shots 4

71 Ball Possession 29

705 Passes Accurate 246

746 Total Passes 306

95% Passes % 80%

7 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

6 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

15 Corner Kicks 2

11 Shots Insidebox 3

10 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.85 expected_goals 0.14

0 goals_prevented 0

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	2	-	2	15	12	-	2	False	70	49	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	24	1	26	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	6
👤 Andrey Santos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benoît Badiashile	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	111	1	116	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Enzo Fernández	1	3	1	2	17	6	3	2	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	54	3	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Estêvão	0	7	-	3	8	3	-	-	False	45	41	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	15	1	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	45	12	G	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Gittens	1	5	-	4	7	5	1	1	False	20	11	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorrel Hato	0	2	-	1	7	3	-	-	False	70	21	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	50	2	54	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Josh Acheampong	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Pedro	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	20	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Landon Emenalo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Liam Delap	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	70	9	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	7	2	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Malo Gusto	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	3	False	90	27	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	61	1	65	-	-	-	-	2	-	3	1
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	20	3	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	38	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marc Guiu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moisés Caicedo	0	-	1	-	6	3	2	-	False	90	25	M	9	False	0	-	1	-	89	3	93	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	3
👤 Pedro Neto	0	7	-	5	10	7	-	1	False	90	7	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	58	-	60	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Reece James	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	True	45	24	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	74	-	77	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Reggie Walsh	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	46	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	1	G	7.2	True	0	2	-	-	13	-	15	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrique George	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wesley Fofana	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	29	D	8.2	False	0	-	-	-	95	2	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Pafos — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anderson Silva	0	1	1	-	5	1	-	-	False	65	33	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno	0	1	4	-	19	5	3	-	False	90	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Bruno Langa	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	25	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 David Goldar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Luiz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derrick Luckassen	0	1	1	-	10	5	2	1	False	90	23	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Domingos Quina	0	1	-	-	9	6	-	2	False	25	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Georgios Michael	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	42	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Šunjić	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	26	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Jajá	0	1	2	-	7	2	1	-	False	65	11	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Jay Gorter	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	1	6	-	-	26	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ken Sema	1	2	4	1	10	4	1	-	False	83	12	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Kostas Pileas	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Landry Dimata	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	False	25	10	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Mislav Oršić	1	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	83	17	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Mons Bassouamina	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	12	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Neofytos Michael	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	93	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pedro Caldieraro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	87	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Petros Petrou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pêpê	0	3	3	1	8	3	-	-	False	90	88	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Vlad Dragomir	0	2	-	1	9	4	1	2	True	89	30	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	-	1	1	2	3	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Pafos

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	1-0	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos	1-0	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Pafos

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.7%

Home Win

24.6%

Draw

25.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.87

Pafos 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Chelsea

Pafos

Stamford Bridge

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)