Olympiakos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen

UEFA Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen

60' P. Schick
63' P. Schick

18 Feb 2026

21:00

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 0 - 2

Score Summary

Olympiakos Piraeus

0 2

FT HT 0–0

Bayer Leverkusen

60' P. Schick
63' P. Schick

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

41% Win

Olympiakos Piraeus 1510 1504 ▼ -6

59% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1571 1580 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Olympiakos Piraeus -0.10 -0.13 ▼ -0.03

38% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.38 0.54 ▲ 0.16

Top Performers

Top Rated

Patrik Schick

Bayer Leverkusen

8.0

8.0 rating · 87 min

Most Clinical

Patrik Schick

Bayer Leverkusen

8.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Christos Mouzakitis

Olympiakos Piraeus

6.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Alejandro Grimaldo

Bayer Leverkusen

7.2

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Olympiakos Piraeus 17% Bayer Leverkusen 83%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

13 Shots 8

1 On Target 5

Form Context

Olympiakos Piraeus

D L W W W

Bayer Leverkusen

W W D L W

Smart Insight

Bayer Leverkusen carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Olympiakos Piraeus generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.0%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 37.4%

Expected Goals 1.58 - 1.59

Qualification %

Olympiakos Piraeus 0.0%

Bayer Leverkusen 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

42 Possession 58

1 Shots 5

13 Shots 8

2 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 3

1 Shots On Goal 5

13 Total Shots 8

42 Ball Possession 58

328 Passes Accurate 499

414 Total Passes 591

79% Passes % 84%

6 Blocked Shots 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

7 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 3

4 Shots Insidebox 7

9 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.87 expected_goals 1.95

0 goals_prevented 0

Olympiakos Piraeus — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexandros Paschalakis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexios Kalogeropoulos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 André Luiz	0	6	1	4	9	5	-	1	False	26	17	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ayoub El Kaabi	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Onyemaechi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	70	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Chiquinho	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	26	22	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christos Mouzakitis	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	96	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	4	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clayton	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Costinha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Podence	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	64	56	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diogo Nascimento	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Francisco Ortega	0	3	1	1	9	3	1	1	False	82	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Gelson Martins	0	4	1	3	10	5	1	2	False	90	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	26	-	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Giulian Biancone	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	45	4	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Konstantinos Tzolakis	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	88	G	7.6	False	0	2	3	-	-	15	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenzo Pirola	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	45	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lorenzo Scipioni	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	8	16	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Mehdi Taremi	0	2	-	1	8	7	-	1	False	64	99	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Nikolaos Botis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Panagiotis Retsos	0	1	-	1	4	2	2	-	True	90	45	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Rodinei	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	90	23	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Santiago Hezze	0	2	3	-	11	3	1	-	False	82	32	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	2

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	1	-	2	-	5	1	1	-	False	86	24	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	78	-	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	-	2	-	10	5	2	-	False	90	20	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	48	2	58	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	4
👤 Arthur	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	13	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Axel Tape	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	3	35	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	-	3	-	8	2	-	-	False	90	12	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	61	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	76	19	F	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	26	2	30	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Exequiel Palacios	0	2	1	2	11	9	1	2	False	90	25	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	86	-	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	4	6	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	2	1	2	4	3	-	-	False	64	30	F	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	15	2	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	28	G	6.9	False	0	1	-	-	14	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Omlin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Vazquez	0	1	2	-	9	5	-	1	False	77	21	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	30	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Malik Tillman	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	26	10	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Terrier	0	2	1	2	4	2	1	-	False	14	11	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	4	-	2	16	6	2	1	False	87	14	F	8	False	0	-	2	1	16	1	21	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	True	90	8	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	51	-	62	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Tim Oermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Olympiakos Piraeus and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-2	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Olympiakos Piraeus and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Olympiakos Piraeus

0.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Current aggregate: 2-0

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.0%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

37.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Olympiakos Piraeus 1.58

Bayer Leverkusen 1.59

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Olympiakos Piraeus

Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)