Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Monaco

25 Feb 2026

21:00

Parc des Princes

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 5 - 4

Stadium

Parc des Princes

Paris, France

Capacity: 47929 Surface: grass Address: 24, rue du Commandant Guilbaud

Score Summary

Paris Saint Germain

2 2

FT HT 0–1

Monaco

Marquinhos 60'
K. Kvaratskhelia 66'

45' M. Akliouche
90' J. Teze

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

63% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1599 1597 ▼ -3

37% Win

Monaco 1504 1507 ▲ 3

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1.17 1.38 ▲ 0.21

27% Win

Monaco 0.18 0.24 ▲ 0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Désiré Doué

Paris Saint Germain

8.2

8.2 rating · 88 min

Most Clinical

Marquinhos

Paris Saint Germain

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Désiré Doué

Paris Saint Germain

8.2

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nuno Mendes

Paris Saint Germain

7.7

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Paris Saint Germain 60% Monaco 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

73 Possession 27

21 Shots 10

6 On Target 4

Form Context

Paris Saint Germain

L W D L D

Monaco

W D W L D

Smart Insight

Paris Saint Germain controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Paris Saint Germain generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 56.1%

Draw 23.3%

Away Win 20.5%

Expected Goals 2.02 - 1.16

Qualification %

Paris Saint Germain 100.0%

Monaco 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

73 Possession 27

6 Shots 4

21 Shots 10

2 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 5

6 Shots On Goal 4

21 Total Shots 10

73 Ball Possession 27

661 Passes Accurate 210

709 Total Passes 266

93% Passes % 79%

9 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

8 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 1

1 Yellow Cards 5

8 Corner Kicks 4

10 Shots Insidebox 8

11 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.21 expected_goals 1.32

0 goals_prevented 0

Paris Saint Germain — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Achraf Hakimi	0	2	2	1	7	2	-	1	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	3	81	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Bradley Barcola	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	69	29	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Dro Fernández	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	27	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Désiré Doué	0	5	-	4	13	8	2	3	False	88	14	F	8.2	False	1	0	-	-	1	41	4	46	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Gonçalo Ramos	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	2	9	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Mbaye	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilya Zabarnyi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Neves	0	2	1	1	6	3	1	1	False	90	87	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	2	58	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Kang-in Lee	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	21	19	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	23	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	0	3	1	1	15	8	1	4	False	90	7	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	57	2	64	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Lucas Beraldo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Chevalier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Hernández	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	10	21	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marquinhos	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	True	90	5	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	79	1	83	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Matvey Safonov	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	39	G	6.3	False	0	2	2	-	-	14	-	17	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nuno Mendes	0	4	-	3	15	11	-	3	False	80	25	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	54	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	5
👤 Renato Marin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vitinha	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	17	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	117	2	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Warren Zaïre-Emery	0	2	-	-	8	3	2	-	False	87	33	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	2	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Willian Pacho	0	-	-	-	10	8	-	-	False	90	51	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4

Monaco — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aladji Bamba	0	0	1	-	1	7	3	3	-	False	62	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Ansu Fati	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Caio Henrique	0	0	2	1	2	8	7	-	-	False	90	12	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Christian Mawissa	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	13	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Denis Zakaria	0	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	True	74	6	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	4	2	1
👤 Folarin Balogun	0	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	74	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ilane Touré	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordan Teze	0	0	1	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	28	4	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Jules Stawiecki	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lamine Camara	0	0	4	2	2	11	6	-	3	False	90	15	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	2	2	1
👤 Maghnes Akliouche	0	0	3	1	-	11	4	1	1	False	74	11	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	3	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Mamadou Coulibaly	1	2	1	1	-	9	2	4	-	False	58	28	M	5.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	15	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Mika Biereth	0	0	2	-	-	8	-	-	-	False	16	14	F	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Köhn	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	16	G	6.6	False	0	2	4	-	-	13	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Samuel Nibombe	0	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	44	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Simon Adingra	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	16	24	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thilo Kehrer	0	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Vanderson	0	1	1	3	-	12	6	2	2	False	89	2	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Wout Faes	0	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	1	False	90	25	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	3	1	2	2
👤 Yann Lienard	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Paris Saint Germain and Monaco

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain	2-2	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco	2-2	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Paris Saint Germain and Monaco

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Paris Saint Germain

100.0%

Monaco

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Monaco 2-3 Paris Saint Germain

Current aggregate: 5-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

56.1%

Home Win

23.3%

Draw

20.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Paris Saint Germain 2.02

Monaco 1.16

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Paris Saint Germain

Monaco

Parc des Princes

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)