Newcastle vs Barcelona - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Barcelona

Coach : H. Flick

86' H. Barnes
90' Lamine Yamal

10 Mar 2026

21:00

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 8

Score Summary

Newcastle

1 1

FT HT 0–0

Barcelona

H. Barnes 86'

90' Lamine Yamal

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

32% Win

Newcastle 1534 1537 ▲ 4

68% Win

Barcelona 1661 1657 ▼ -4

xPi Expected win probability

32% Win

Newcastle 0.51 0.22 ▼ -0.29

53% Win

Barcelona 1.03 1.07 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Raphinha

Barcelona

7.5

7.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Harvey Barnes

Newcastle

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Lewis Hall

Newcastle

7.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Fermín López

Barcelona

6.9

7 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 67% Barcelona 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

16 Shots 9

4 On Target 2

Form Context

Newcastle

W L D W D

Barcelona

D L W W W

Smart Insight

Newcastle controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Newcastle generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 27.2%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 48.1%

Expected Goals 1.35 - 1.85

Qualification %

Newcastle 0.0%

Barcelona 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	1-1	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

46 Possession 54

4 Shots 2

16 Shots 9

6 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 2

16 Total Shots 9

46 Ball Possession 54

266 Passes Accurate 328

330 Total Passes 406

81% Passes % 81%

6 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

14 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

9 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.30 expected_goals 1.42

0 goals_prevented 0

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	32	G	6.6	False	0	1	1	-	-	21	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aidan Harris	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	58	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	6	-	3	12	5	-	1	False	67	20	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	23	10	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Burn	0	-	-	-	11	6	1	1	False	90	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	1	1	-	6	2	1	1	False	89	11	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	3	10	-	13	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	2	1	1	5	2	-	1	False	23	23	M	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	6	2	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	1	2	1	15	7	3	-	False	90	41	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Joe Willock	1	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	1	28	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	0	2	-	-	14	4	3	1	False	90	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	23	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 John Ruddy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	-	3	-	7	4	-	-	True	67	2	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Lewis Hall	0	2	-	2	9	6	1	3	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	5	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	-	-	11	5	2	-	False	90	12	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	50	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	1	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	35	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Sean Neave	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valentino Livramento	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	23	21	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Osula	0	4	-	2	12	5	-	-	False	67	18	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Barcelona — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dani Olmo	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	2	False	20	20	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Kochen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fermín López	0	2	-	1	12	8	2	-	False	88	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	22	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	7
👤 Ferran Torres	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	9	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Gerard Martín	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	18	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Joan García	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	13	G	6.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	25	-	37	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Cancelo	1	6	3	3	14	6	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	2	3
👤 Lamine Yamal	0	-	1	-	8	5	1	3	False	90	10	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	-	36	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Marc Bernal	0	-	1	-	9	4	1	1	False	73	22	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marc Casadó	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	17	17	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marcus Rashford	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	20	14	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Gavi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Cubarsí	0	-	2	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	60	-	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	2
👤 Pedri	0	1	-	-	8	6	-	4	False	70	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	39	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Raphinha	0	3	-	3	7	5	-	1	False	90	11	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	4	22	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Robert Lewandowski	0	-	-	-	13	4	1	2	False	70	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ronald Araújo	0	1	1	1	14	9	1	-	True	88	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	38	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	1	3
👤 Roony Bardghji	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Marqués	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Szczęsny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xavi Espart	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	42	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Álvaro Cortés	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Barcelona

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	1-1	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle	1-1	8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Barcelona

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Newcastle

0.0%

Barcelona

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Newcastle 1-1 Barcelona

Current aggregate: 8-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 34.6%

Draw 18.4%

Away Win 47.0%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

27.2%

Home Win

24.8%

Draw

48.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.35

Barcelona 1.85

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Barcelona

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)