Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen

36' E. Eze
63' D. Rice

17 Mar 2026

21:00

Emirates Stadium

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 1

Stadium

Emirates Stadium

London, England

Capacity: 60383 Surface: grass Address: Hornsey Road

Score Summary

Arsenal

2 0

FT HT 1–0

Bayer Leverkusen

E. Eze 36'
D. Rice 63'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

64% Win

Arsenal 1672 1680 ▲ 7

36% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1576 1568 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

59% Win

Arsenal 1.12 0.94 ▼ -0.18

29% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.54 0.54 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Janis Blaswich

Bayer Leverkusen

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Declan Rice

Arsenal

8.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal

8.9

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal

7.9

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arsenal 86% Bayer Leverkusen 14%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

21 Shots 9

12 On Target 2

Form Context

Arsenal

W W W W W

Bayer Leverkusen

W W D L W

Smart Insight

Arsenal controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Arsenal generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Arsenal after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.6%

Draw 24.1%

Away Win 23.3%

Expected Goals 1.94 - 1.24

Qualification %

Arsenal 100.0%

Bayer Leverkusen 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	2-0	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

42 Possession 58

12 Shots 2

21 Shots 9

1 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 5

12 Shots On Goal 2

21 Total Shots 9

42 Ball Possession 58

317 Passes Accurate 470

383 Total Passes 535

83% Passes % 88%

4 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 10

4 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

10 Corner Kicks 8

13 Shots Insidebox 5

8 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.70 expected_goals 0.52

0 goals_prevented 0

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ben White	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	69	4	D	6.2	False	0	-	-	1	20	1	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Bukayo Saka	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	7	M	8.9	False	0	-	-	-	26	5	31	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	2
👤 Christian Nørgaard	-	1	-	4	3	-	-	False	22	16	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	21	3	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raya	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	2	-	-	15	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Declan Rice	-	1	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	41	M	8.7	False	0	-	1	-	44	2	52	-	-	-	2	2	1	3	2
👤 Eberechi Eze	2	-	2	8	6	1	2	False	69	10	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	17	3	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Gabriel Jesus	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	-	-	-	10	9	-	2	False	90	6	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	37	-	40	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	4
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	21	11	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kai Havertz	-	1	-	7	4	1	-	False	21	29	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Khari Ranson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	79	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	5	1	1	9	3	-	-	False	69	19	M	6.3	False	1	-	-	-	22	2	25	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	2
👤 Martín Zubimendi	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	68	36	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	33	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Max Dowman	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	49	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noni Madueke	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Piero Hincapié	3	1	1	11	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	8.5	False	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Riccardo Calafiori	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	2	-	1	7	2	1	1	False	89	14	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	12	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 William Saliba	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	2	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	52	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	86	2	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	2	1	-	9	2	1	-	False	90	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Axel Tape	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	0	-	-	-	12	5	1	-	False	90	35	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	18	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	68	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	4	-	2	8	4	-	-	False	60	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Exequiel Palacios	1	-	1	-	8	4	1	1	False	70	25	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	6	1	1	10	2	2	-	False	90	30	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	90	28	G	9.2	False	0	2	10	-	-	12	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	1	-	1	6	4	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	59	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	2
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Omlin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	30	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Terrier	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	1	False	60	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	2	-	2	8	5	1	-	False	30	42	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	20	14	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	True	83	8	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	62	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Tim Oermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	2-0	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen	2-0	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Arsenal

100.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Arsenal

Current aggregate: 3-1

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 60.0%

Draw 11.7%

Away Win 28.2%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.6%

Home Win

24.1%

Draw

23.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arsenal 1.94

Bayer Leverkusen 1.24

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arsenal

Bayer Leverkusen

Emirates Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)