Barcelona vs Newcastle - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Newcastle

18 Mar 2026

18:45

Camp Nou

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 8 - 3

Stadium

Camp Nou

Barcelona, Spain

Capacity: 55926 Surface: grass Address: Les Corts, 08028

Score Summary

Barcelona

7 2

FT HT 3–2

Newcastle

15' A. Elanga
28' A. Elanga

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

66% Win

Barcelona 1663 1670 ▲ 7

34% Win

Newcastle 1548 1542 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Barcelona 1.07 1.07 ▼ -0.01

31% Win

Newcastle 0.53 0.22 ▼ -0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Raphinha

Barcelona

10.0

10.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Raphinha

Barcelona

10.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Raphinha

Barcelona

10.0

6 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Jacob Ramsey

Newcastle

5.9

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Barcelona 72% Newcastle 28%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

18 Shots 8

13 On Target 5

Form Context

Barcelona

D L W W W

Newcastle

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Barcelona controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Barcelona generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Barcelona after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 50.2%

Draw 24.5%

Away Win 25.2%

Expected Goals 1.88 - 1.29

Qualification %

Barcelona 100.0%

Newcastle 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	7-2	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

63 Possession 37

13 Shots 5

18 Shots 8

2 Offsides 2

2 Shots Off Goal 2

13 Shots On Goal 5

18 Total Shots 8

63 Ball Possession 37

399 Passes Accurate 198

457 Total Passes 267

87% Passes % 74%

3 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

9 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 2

16 Shots Insidebox 7

2 Shots Outsidebox 1

4.29 expected_goals 1.52

0 goals_prevented 0

Barcelona — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dani Olmo	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	23	20	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Kochen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric García	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	22	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fermín López	0	1	1	-	9	4	2	-	False	67	16	M	7.6	False	1	0	-	1	-	12	1	17	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Ferran Torres	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	24	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	2	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Martín	0	-	1	-	1	-	1	-	False	90	18	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	59	1	64	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joan García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	82	13	G	6.5	False	0	2	2	-	-	24	-	27	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Cancelo	0	4	-	3	10	7	-	1	False	66	2	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lamine Yamal	0	2	-	1	9	7	1	3	False	90	10	M	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	24	1	28	-	-	1	-	3	4	-	-	3
👤 Marc Bernal	0	2	1	-	8	3	1	1	False	90	22	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	41	-	47	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Marc Casadó	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Rashford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Gavi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Cubarsí	1	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	62	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Pedri	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	3	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	2	66	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphinha	0	1	-	1	6	4	1	1	True	90	11	M	10	False	2	0	-	2	-	16	6	25	-	-	0	1	5	5	-	-	1
👤 Robert Lewandowski	0	-	-	-	10	7	-	4	False	66	9	F	9	False	0	0	-	2	-	9	3	11	-	-	0	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Ronald Araújo	0	1	-	1	6	6	-	-	False	68	4	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	47	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Roony Bardghji	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Marqués	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Szczęsny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	25	G	6.6	True	0	0	1	-	-	3	-	4	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xavi Espart	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	24	42	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Álvaro Cortés	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	32	G	7	False	0	7	6	-	-	15	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Aidan Harris	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	58	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	-	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	64	20	F	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	1	8	1	14	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	2	False	81	10	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dan Burn	0	-	1	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	33	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	1	-	-	9	3	2	2	False	90	11	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	15	1	17	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	26	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	90	41	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Joe Willock	1	-	1	-	4	1	2	-	False	35	28	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joelinton	1	1	-	-	12	5	3	1	False	64	7	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 John Ruddy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kieran Trippier	1	-	2	-	4	-	1	-	True	45	2	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	3	1	2	8	4	-	1	False	90	3	D	4.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	12	D	4.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	55	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Sean Neave	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	4	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valentino Livramento	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	45	21	D	5.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Osula	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Barcelona and Newcastle

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	7-2	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle	7-2	8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Barcelona and Newcastle

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Barcelona

100.0%

Newcastle

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Newcastle 1-1 Barcelona

Current aggregate: 8-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 54.7%

Draw 14.2%

Away Win 31.1%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.2%

Home Win

24.5%

Draw

25.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Barcelona 1.88

Newcastle 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Barcelona

Newcastle

Camp Nou

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)