Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

18 Mar 2026

21:00

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 5 - 7

Stadium

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

London, England

Capacity: 62850 Surface: grass Address: Bill Nicholson Way, 748 High Road

Score Summary

Tottenham

3 2

FT HT 1–0

Atletico Madrid

47' J. Alvarez
75' D. Hancko

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

29% Win

Tottenham 1454 1468 ▲ 14

71% Win

Atletico Madrid 1613 1599 ▼ -14

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Tottenham -0.16 -0.07 ▲ 0.10

37% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.39 0.17 ▼ -0.22

Top Performers

Top Rated

Xavi Simons

Tottenham

9.6

9.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Xavi Simons

Tottenham

9.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Xavi Simons

Tottenham

9.6

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Robin Le Normand

Atletico Madrid

6.3

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Tottenham 65% Atletico Madrid 35%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

18 Shots 18

11 On Target 6

Form Context

Tottenham

W L W W W

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Smart Insight

Tottenham controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Tottenham after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.4%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 36.0%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.56

Qualification %

Tottenham 0.0%

Atletico Madrid 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	3-2	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

51 Possession 49

11 Shots 6

18 Shots 18

1 Offsides 3

1 Shots Off Goal 3

11 Shots On Goal 6

18 Total Shots 18

51 Ball Possession 49

344 Passes Accurate 335

415 Total Passes 404

83% Passes % 83%

6 Blocked Shots 9

5 Goalkeeper Saves 8

16 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 7

12 Shots Insidebox 10

6 Shots Outsidebox 8

2.45 expected_goals 1.04

0 goals_prevented 0

Tottenham — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Antonín Kinský	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Archie Gray	0	3	2	2	8	2	1	-	False	81	14	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	38	2	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Brandon Austin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Olusesi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	52	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	9	22	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristian Romero	1	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	True	81	17	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Destiny Udogie	1	1	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	24	13	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Djed Spence	0	1	1	1	11	3	3	-	False	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Guglielmo Vicario	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	2	5	-	-	20	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Rowswell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	76	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Danso	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	9	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Bergvall	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	16	15	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Mathys Tel	0	10	1	4	19	7	-	-	False	81	11	M	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	0	-	5	5	-	-	1
👤 Micky van de Ven	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	90	37	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Pape Matar Sarr	0	1	2	-	5	2	-	1	False	90	29	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	51	-	-	0	-	-	1	2	3	1
👤 Pedro Porro	1	-	1	-	5	2	1	2	False	74	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	26	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Radu Drăguşin	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	66	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	25	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Randal Kolo Muani	0	-	-	-	5	1	3	-	False	90	39	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	1	9	-	14	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Rio Kyerematen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	57	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xavi Simons	0	6	-	4	14	9	1	2	False	90	7	M	9.6	False	0	0	-	2	-	41	5	46	-	-	1	1	2	2	1	2	2

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	1	-	-	-	4	4	-	3	False	63	22	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	21	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Alex Baena	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	10	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	1	-	1	-	6	-	2	-	False	27	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	True	84	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	36	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	90	17	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	3	1	2	17	11	-	3	False	87	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	27	-	-	-	1	3	1	2	5
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	1	2	1	13	9	-	3	False	90	5	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 José María Giménez	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	9	2	D	5.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	3	8	-	-	16	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	3	3	3	13	6	2	1	False	84	19	F	8.9	False	1	0	-	1	-	25	3	27	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	2
👤 Koke	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	26	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	2	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	1	2	1	6	2	-	-	False	90	14	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Mario de Luis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	45	1	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	1	1	1	9	6	1	-	False	64	16	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	23	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	10	8	-	2	False	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Tottenham and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	3-2	8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	3-2	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Tottenham and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Tottenham

0.0%

Atletico Madrid

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Atletico Madrid 5-2 Tottenham

Current aggregate: 7-5

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 44.2%

Draw 20.2%

Away Win 35.7%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.4%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

36.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Tottenham 1.62

Atletico Madrid 1.56

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Tottenham

Atletico Madrid

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)