Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool

Coach : J. Klopp

11' D. Doue
65' K. Kvaratskhelia

08 Apr 2026

21:00

Parc des Princes

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 0

Stadium

Parc des Princes

Paris, France

Capacity: 47929 Surface: grass Address: 24, rue du Commandant Guilbaud

Score Summary

Paris Saint Germain

2 0

FT HT 1–0

Liverpool

D. Doue 11'
K. Kvaratskhelia 65'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

60% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1622 1630 ▲ 8

40% Win

Liverpool 1550 1542 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1.31 1.38 ▲ 0.07

32% Win

Liverpool 0.83 0.66 ▼ -0.17

Top Performers

Top Rated

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Paris Saint Germain

9.0

9.0 rating · 93 min

Most Clinical

Désiré Doué

Paris Saint Germain

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Ousmane Dembélé

Paris Saint Germain

7.5

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Miloš Kerkez

Liverpool

6.7

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Paris Saint Germain 100% Liverpool 0%

Key Stats Snapshot

74 Possession 26

18 Shots 3

6 On Target 0

Form Context

Paris Saint Germain

L W D L D

Liverpool

W L W W W

Smart Insight

Paris Saint Germain controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Paris Saint Germain generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Paris Saint Germain after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.3%

Draw 25.5%

Away Win 32.3%

Expected Goals 1.71 - 1.47

Qualification %

Paris Saint Germain 100.0%

Liverpool 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	2-0	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

74 Possession 26

6 Shots 0

18 Shots 3

1 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 1

6 Shots On Goal 0

18 Total Shots 3

74 Ball Possession 26

683 Passes Accurate 189

744 Total Passes 253

92% Passes % 75%

6 Blocked Shots 2

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

8 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 1

12 Shots Insidebox 1

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.20 expected_goals 0.18

0 goals_prevented 0

Paris Saint Germain — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Achraf Hakimi	4	1	1	10	4	2	-	False	93	2	D	7	False	-	-	-	-	71	-	78	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Dro Fernández	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Désiré Doué	2	-	1	8	3	2	2	False	78	14	F	7.9	False	-	-	1	-	36	1	40	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Gonçalo Ramos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Mbaye	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilya Zabarnyi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Neves	1	-	1	9	8	-	2	False	93	87	M	7.7	False	1	-	-	1	57	1	61	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Kang-in Lee	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	15	19	M	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	10	3	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	2	-	1	11	7	2	4	False	93	7	F	9	False	-	-	1	-	38	-	41	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	2
👤 Lucas Beraldo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Chevalier	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Hernández	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	5	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marquinhos	1	1	1	7	5	-	-	True	93	5	D	7.7	False	-	-	-	-	80	-	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Matvey Safonov	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	93	39	G	6.7	False	-	-	-	-	10	-	18	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nuno Mendes	2	1	-	6	3	-	1	False	93	25	D	7.6	False	-	-	-	-	61	3	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Ousmane Dembélé	4	1	2	7	2	-	-	False	88	10	F	7.5	False	-	-	-	-	61	5	71	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Renato Marin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Senny Mayulu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vitinha	-	1	-	7	4	1	2	False	93	17	M	7.9	False	-	-	-	-	132	-	138	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Warren Zaïre-Emery	2	1	2	8	4	1	1	False	93	33	M	6.9	False	-	-	-	-	60	1	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Willian Pacho	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	93	51	D	7.3	False	-	-	-	-	66	-	70	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-

Liverpool — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Isak	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	15	9	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexis Mac Allister	1	1	3	1	13	5	3	2	False	93	10	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Andrew Robertson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	26	D	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cody Gakpo	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	15	18	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Curtis Jones	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	15	17	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Szoboszlai	0	1	1	-	6	1	-	-	False	78	8	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	19	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Federico Chiesa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Wirtz	0	3	-	3	11	6	2	-	False	78	7	F	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	17	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Freddie Woodman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giorgi Mamardashvili	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	93	25	G	6.9	False	-	2	4	-	-	15	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Ekitiké	0	2	1	1	10	4	-	1	False	78	22	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	1	13	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ibrahima Konaté	0	1	-	1	12	6	4	1	False	93	5	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Jeremie Frimpong	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	91	30	M	6	False	-	0	-	-	1	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Gomez	1	-	2	-	5	1	1	-	False	93	2	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Kornel Misciur	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	74	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miloš Kerkez	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	2	False	78	6	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Mohamed Salah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rio Ngumoha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	73	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Gravenberch	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	93	38	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Trey Nyoni	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Virgil van Dijk	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	93	4	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Paris Saint Germain and Liverpool

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	2-0	8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain	2-0	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Paris Saint Germain and Liverpool

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Paris Saint Germain

100.0%

Liverpool

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Liverpool

Current aggregate: 0-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.3%

Home Win

25.5%

Draw

32.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Paris Saint Germain 1.71

Liverpool 1.47

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Paris Saint Germain

Liverpool

Parc des Princes

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)