Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

45' J. Alvarez
70' A. Sorloth

08 Apr 2026

21:00

Spotify Camp Nou

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 3

Score Summary

Barcelona

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Atletico Madrid

45' J. Alvarez
70' A. Sorloth

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

64% Win

Barcelona 1683 1670 ▼ -13

36% Win

Atletico Madrid 1582 1595 ▲ 13

xPi Expected win probability

64% Win

Barcelona 1.13 1.07 ▼ -0.06

26% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.23 0.17 ▼ -0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

8.7

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

7.5

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Barcelona 70% Atletico Madrid 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

18 Shots 5

7 On Target 3

Form Context

Barcelona

D L W W W

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Smart Insight

Barcelona controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Barcelona generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.1%

Draw 23.1%

Away Win 19.8%

Expected Goals 2.04 - 1.14

Qualification %

Barcelona 0.0%

Atletico Madrid 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	0-2	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

58 Possession 42

7 Shots 3

18 Shots 5

1 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 1

7 Shots On Goal 3

18 Total Shots 5

58 Ball Possession 42

536 Passes Accurate 367

596 Total Passes 428

90% Passes % 86%

4 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

6 Fouls 17

1 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 1

13 Shots Insidebox 4

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.16 expected_goals 0.45

0 goals_prevented 0

Barcelona — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Balde	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	3	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dani Olmo	0	0	1	1	1	13	10	-	5	False	90	20	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	58	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	1
👤 Diego Kochen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric García	0	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	24	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	78	2	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Fermín López	0	0	7	1	5	12	8	-	1	False	45	16	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Ferran Torres	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Martín	0	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	18	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	94	-	100	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Joan García	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.7	False	0	2	1	-	-	18	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Cancelo	0	0	5	2	2	13	4	2	-	False	86	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	56	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Jules Koundé	0	0	1	1	1	4	1	-	-	False	73	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Lamine Yamal	0	0	13	-	8	23	16	-	6	False	90	10	M	8.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	24	3	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Marc Casadó	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Rashford	0	0	2	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	73	14	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	21	-	-	-	4	6	-	1	-
👤 Pablo Gavi	0	1	1	2	-	7	3	1	1	False	45	6	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Pau Cubarsí	1	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	44	5	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pedri	0	0	1	1	1	5	4	-	2	True	45	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robert Lewandowski	0	0	-	2	-	6	3	1	1	False	45	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ronald Araújo	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	17	4	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Roony Bardghji	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Marqués	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Szczęsny	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xavi Espart	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Cortés	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	3	-	2	3	2	1	-	False	60	22	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	13	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Baena	1	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	30	10	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	2	-	1	5	1	1	-	False	30	9	F	7.2	True	0	-	1	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	2	-	1	6	3	1	1	False	80	7	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	31	17	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	2	1	2	17	9	-	2	False	80	20	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	7	-	-	18	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	5	2	4	12	5	4	-	False	90	19	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	21	1	25	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Koke	1	-	4	-	12	3	3	-	True	60	6	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	31	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Marc Pubill	1	-	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	59	18	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	37	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	-	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	1	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Mario de Luis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	-	3	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.5	False	1	-	-	-	35	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	5	-	12	4	1	-	False	90	16	D	7	False	0	-	-	1	35	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	23	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	2	-	10	5	2	3	False	90	24	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	50	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	2
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	11	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Barcelona and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	0-2	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	0-2	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Barcelona and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Barcelona

0.0%

Atletico Madrid

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Barcelona 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Current aggregate: 2-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.1%

Home Win

23.1%

Draw

19.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Barcelona 2.04

Atletico Madrid 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)