Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Barcelona

Coach : H. Flick

14 Apr 2026

21:00

Metropolitano Stadium

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 2

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

1 2

FT HT 1–2

Barcelona

A. Lookman 31'

4' Lamine Yamal
24' F. Torres

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

37% Win

Atletico Madrid 1581 1574 ▼ -7

63% Win

Barcelona 1675 1682 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

34% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.20 0.17 ▼ -0.03

49% Win

Barcelona 1.10 1.07 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Juan Musso

Atletico Madrid

9.3

9.3 rating · 99 min

Most Clinical

Ademola Lookman

Atletico Madrid

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

8.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Marcos Llorente

Atletico Madrid

7.9

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 38% Barcelona 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

29 Possession 71

15 Shots 14

5 On Target 8

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Barcelona

D L W W W

Smart Insight

Barcelona carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Barcelona after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 29.4%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 44.6%

Qualification %

Atletico Madrid 100.0%

Barcelona 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	1-2	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

29 Possession 71

5 Shots 8

15 Shots 14

1 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 3

5 Shots On Goal 8

15 Total Shots 14

29 Ball Possession 71

203 Passes Accurate 625

285 Total Passes 694

71% Passes % 90%

3 Blocked Shots 3

7 Goalkeeper Saves 4

15 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 1

0 Yellow Cards 1

2 Corner Kicks 4

8 Shots Insidebox 9

7 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.64 expected_goals 2.25

0 goals_prevented 0

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	2	-	1	9	5	1	1	False	66	22	M	7.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	13	2	14	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Alex Baena	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	33	10	M	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	2	-	2	5	4	1	1	False	23	9	F	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	2	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	-	3	-	8	3	-	1	False	76	7	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	17	3	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Clément Lenglet	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	99	15	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Dani Martinez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	1	3	1	14	6	2	1	False	66	20	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	8	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jan Oblak	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Boñar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	5	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	99	1	G	9.3	False	-	2	7	-	-	13	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	3	-	1	13	3	2	-	False	99	19	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	3	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Koke	2	2	2	11	7	1	1	True	89	6	M	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	33	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	4
👤 Marcos Llorente	1	-	-	12	8	1	1	False	99	14	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	7
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	1	4	1	14	7	3	1	False	99	3	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Nahuel Molina	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	99	16	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	21	-	30	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Nicolás González	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	33	23	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Obed Vargas	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	-	-	-	8	2	2	1	False	99	24	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	-
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Barcelona — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Balde	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Olmo	0	0	1	4	1	12	4	2	1	False	89	20	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	46	2	55	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Diego Kochen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric García	1	0	-	1	-	9	4	2	-	False	79	24	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	82	-	87	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Fermín López	0	0	5	-	1	6	1	1	-	False	68	16	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	-	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ferran Torres	0	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	3	False	68	7	F	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	1	19	2	22	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Frenkie de Jong	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	18	21	M	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	24	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gerard Martín	0	0	2	1	2	10	7	-	1	False	99	18	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	82	-	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joan García	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	99	13	G	7	False	-	1	4	-	-	28	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Cancelo	0	0	4	1	2	15	7	2	3	False	89	2	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	51	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jules Koundé	0	0	1	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	99	23	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	59	-	64	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Lamine Yamal	0	0	13	1	7	21	11	-	3	False	99	10	M	8.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	41	4	51	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	1
👤 Marc Casadó	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Rashford	0	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	31	14	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Gavi	0	1	1	-	-	8	5	1	-	False	81	6	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	45	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 Pedri	0	0	-	1	-	7	3	-	3	True	99	8	M	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	102	2	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Robert Lewandowski	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	31	9	F	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ronald Araújo	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	10	4	D	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Roony Bardghji	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	10	28	F	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Marqués	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Szczęsny	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xavi Espart	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Cortés	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Barcelona

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	1-2	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	1-2	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Barcelona

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Atletico Madrid

100.0%

Barcelona

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Barcelona 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Current aggregate: 2-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 29.4%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 44.6%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

31.6%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

43.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.46

Barcelona 1.73

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Barcelona

Prediction (catboost)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)