Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Arsenal

Coach : F. Ljungberg

44' V. Gyokeres
56' J. Alvarez

29 Apr 2026

21:00

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 1 - 1

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

1 1

FT HT 0–1

Arsenal

J. Alvarez 56'

44' V. Gyokeres

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

39% Win

Atletico Madrid 1568 1571 ▲ 2

61% Win

Arsenal 1649 1646 ▼ -2

xPi Expected win probability

34% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.12 0.17 ▲ 0.06

48% Win

Arsenal 0.99 0.94 ▼ -0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Viktor Gyökeres

Arsenal

7.6

7.6 rating · 69 min

Most Clinical

Viktor Gyökeres

Arsenal

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Piero Hincapié

Arsenal

6.2

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 67% Arsenal 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

18 Shots 11

4 On Target 2

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Arsenal

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Atletico Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 26.6%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 48.6%

Qualification %

Atletico Madrid 29.1%

Arsenal 70.9%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	1-1	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

51 Possession 49

4 Shots 2

18 Shots 11

0 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 2

18 Total Shots 11

51 Ball Possession 49

414 Passes Accurate 418

496 Total Passes 473

83% Passes % 88%

6 Blocked Shots 5

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

6 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

6 Corner Kicks 1

13 Shots Insidebox 8

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.22 expected_goals 1.47

0.79 goals_prevented 0.79

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	1	-	1	8	6	-	1	False	95	22	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	1	32	-	-	0	-	2	4	1	2	2
👤 Alex Baena	0	2	-	2	3	2	-	-	False	18	10	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	95	7	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	39	2	48	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	1	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	95	17	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	58	2	67	1	-	0	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	45	20	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	95	13	G	6.7	False	-	1	1	-	-	23	-	37	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Boñar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	2	False	88	5	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	42	-	49	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	3	1	2	9	5	1	-	False	77	19	F	7.3	False	-	0	-	1	-	22	1	30	-	-	1	-	2	4	-	1	1
👤 Koke	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	1	True	95	6	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	58	1	69	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Marc Pubill	0	1	-	1	7	3	2	1	False	95	18	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	-	37	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	1	1	-	7	3	-	1	False	95	14	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	1	31	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	-	3	-	9	6	-	-	False	95	3	D	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	37	4	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	7	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	50	24	D	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	31	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ben White	1	1	-	7	2	2	-	False	86	4	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	1	21	-	24	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Bukayo Saka	4	-	3	8	3	-	-	False	27	7	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Nørgaard	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	3	D	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 David Raya	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	95	1	G	7.2	False	-	1	3	-	-	19	-	27	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Declan Rice	-	1	-	2	1	1	-	False	95	41	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	81	-	87	-	-	0	-	-	1	2	1	1
👤 Eberechi Eze	3	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	37	10	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	17	2	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gabriel Jesus	4	-	2	6	3	1	-	False	26	9	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	95	6	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	44	-	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	3	1	-
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	2	1	-	8	2	-	1	False	68	11	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	1	1	-	5	1	-	1	False	27	19	F	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marli Salmon	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Ødegaard	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	True	58	8	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	1	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Martín Zubimendi	-	2	-	4	1	2	-	False	95	36	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	46	1	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Max Dowman	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noni Madueke	4	-	2	6	2	-	-	False	68	20	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	20	2	22	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Piero Hincapié	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	95	5	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	23	-	34	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	4	2
👤 Riccardo Calafiori	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tommy Setford	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	-	-	-	7	5	3	1	False	69	14	F	7.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	6	1	9	-	-	1	1	1	1	-	-	-
👤 William Saliba	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	95	2	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	59	-	62	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Arsenal

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	1-1	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	1-1	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Arsenal

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Atletico Madrid

29.1%

Arsenal

70.9%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Arsenal

Current aggregate: 1-1

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 26.6%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 48.6%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

30.4%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

44.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.43

Arsenal 1.77

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Arsenal

Prediction (catboost)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)