Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

UEFA Champions League

Olympiakos Piraeus

24 Feb 2026

21:00

BayArena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 0

Stadium

BayArena

Leverkusen, Germany

Capacity: 30210 Surface: grass Address: Bismarckstr. 122-124

Score Summary

Bayer Leverkusen

0 0

FT HT 0–0

Olympiakos Piraeus

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

59% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1567 1565 ▼ -2

41% Win

Olympiakos Piraeus 1504 1505 ▲ 1

xPi Expected win probability

60% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.46 0.54 ▲ 0.08

28% Win

Olympiakos Piraeus -0.15 -0.13 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Edmond Tapsoba

Bayer Leverkusen

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

No standout performer yet

Best Creator

Aleix García

Bayer Leverkusen

7.7

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Alejandro Grimaldo

Bayer Leverkusen

7.2

5 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayer Leverkusen 50% Olympiakos Piraeus 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

7 Shots 7

1 On Target 1

Form Context

Bayer Leverkusen

W W D L W

Olympiakos Piraeus

D L W W W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 53.5%

Draw 23.9%

Away Win 22.6%

Expected Goals 1.96 - 1.22

Qualification %

Bayer Leverkusen 100.0%

Olympiakos Piraeus 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

47 Possession 53

1 Shots 1

7 Shots 7

3 Offsides 3

6 Shots Off Goal 3

1 Shots On Goal 1

7 Total Shots 7

47 Ball Possession 53

388 Passes Accurate 436

475 Total Passes 528

82% Passes % 83%

0 Blocked Shots 3

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

6 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 5

5 Shots Insidebox 2

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

0.69 expected_goals 0.21

0 goals_prevented 0

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	24	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	67	2	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	2	1	1	12	6	1	-	False	90	20	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	1	50	2	58	-	-	-	-	2	-	3	5
👤 Arthur	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	13	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Axel Tape	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	-	1	-	9	7	1	1	False	90	12	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	1	51	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Ernest Poku	1	1	1	2	1	-	-	False	34	19	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	10	2	13	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Exequiel Palacios	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	73	25	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	17	6	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	11	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Maza	1	1	1	8	4	-	2	False	56	30	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Janis Blaswich	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	28	G	7.3	False	0	1	-	-	22	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	2	1	1	9	6	-	2	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Hofmann	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	73	7	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	1	22	-	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Jonas Omlin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Vazquez	1	-	1	3	1	2	-	False	77	21	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	17	42	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Niklas Lomb	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	1	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	90	14	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	True	90	8	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	44	-	54	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Tim Oermann	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Olympiakos Piraeus — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexandros Paschalakis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexios Kalogeropoulos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 André Luiz	0	3	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	24	17	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Argyrios Liatsikouras	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	67	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayoub El Kaabi	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	24	9	F	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Onyemaechi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	70	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chiquinho	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	66	22	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Christos Mouzakitis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	79	96	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	42	2	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Clayton	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	19	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Costinha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani García	0	-	-	-	6	3	2	-	False	89	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	44	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	2
👤 Diogo Nascimento	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Francisco Ortega	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	50	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Gelson Martins	0	7	2	3	14	4	1	1	False	89	10	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	2	35	-	39	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Giulian Biancone	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konstantinos Tzolakis	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	88	G	6.6	False	0	1	-	-	18	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenzo Pirola	1	-	-	-	6	3	1	2	False	90	5	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	52	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lorenzo Scipioni	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	16	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Mehdi Taremi	0	1	-	-	7	3	1	2	False	66	99	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	14	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nikolaos Botis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Panagiotis Retsos	0	1	1	1	7	3	1	-	True	90	45	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	53	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Rodinei	0	3	-	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Santiago Hezze	0	-	1	-	7	3	-	-	False	90	32	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	1	37	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiakos Piraeus

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen	0-0	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-0	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiakos Piraeus

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Bayer Leverkusen

100.0%

Olympiakos Piraeus

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Current aggregate: 2-0

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

53.5%

Home Win

23.9%

Draw

22.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayer Leverkusen 1.96

Olympiakos Piraeus 1.22

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayer Leverkusen

Olympiakos Piraeus

BayArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)