Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

DFB Pokal

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coach : D. Grammozis

02 Dec 2025

18:00

Olympiastadion

Score Summary

Hertha BSC

6 1

FT HT 3–1

1. FC Kaiserslautern

45' M. Ritter

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Hertha BSC 1554 1563 ▲ 9

45% Win

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1520 1511 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Hertha BSC 0.00 -0.06 ▼ -0.06

34% Win

1. FC Kaiserslautern 0.06 -0.06 ▼ -0.11

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jan Luca Schuler

Hertha BSC

9.0

9.0 rating · 71 min

Most Clinical

Jan Luca Schuler

Hertha BSC

9.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Naatan Skyttä

1. FC Kaiserslautern

5.7

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Fabian Kunze

1. FC Kaiserslautern

5.9

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Hertha BSC 73% 1. FC Kaiserslautern 27%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

15 Shots 12

8 On Target 3

Form Context

Hertha BSC

D W W D

1. FC Kaiserslautern

W W L

Smart Insight

Hertha BSC controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Hertha BSC generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Hertha BSC after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.9%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 30.0%

Expected Goals 1.78 - 1.42

Qualification %

Hertha BSC 100.0%

1. FC Kaiserslautern 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC	6-1	8	D W W D

43 Possession 57

8 Shots 3

15 Shots 12

N/A Offsides N/A

5 Shots Off Goal 6

8 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 12

43 Ball Possession 57

299 Passes Accurate 416

377 Total Passes 506

79% Passes % 82%

2 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

3 Corner Kicks 2

13 Shots Insidebox 6

2 Shots Outsidebox 6

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Hertha BSC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dawid Kownacki	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	19	9	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Diego Demme	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Reese	0	4	-	1	12	4	1	-	True	71	11	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	2
👤 Jan Luca Schuler	0	1	-	1	13	6	2	1	False	71	18	F	9	False	0	0	-	2	-	9	-	16	-	-	-	3	4	-	1	-
👤 Julian Eitschberger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	24	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kennet Eichhorn	0	1	-	-	7	4	1	3	False	90	23	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	1	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Kevin Sessa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Linus Gechter	0	-	-	-	10	7	2	-	False	90	44	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Marius Gersbeck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marten Winkler	0	2	-	2	10	6	1	2	False	79	22	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Maurice Krattenmacher	0	2	1	2	3	2	-	-	False	19	14	M	8.3	True	1	0	-	1	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Michaël Cuisance	0	4	1	-	15	6	2	3	False	90	10	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	17	1	20	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Michał Karbownik	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	11	33	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Márton Dárdai	1	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	79	31	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	28	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Kolbe	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	3	False	90	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Paul Seguin	0	-	1	-	6	2	-	-	False	79	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Sebastian Grønning	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Ernst	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	28	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toni Leistner	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	-	False	90	37	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1

1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Afeez Aremu	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	23	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Hanslik	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	19	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dickson Abiama	0	2	-	-	8	2	-	1	False	62	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Dion Hofmeister	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Kunze	0	-	-	-	10	6	2	1	False	90	6	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Faride Alidou	0	1	-	1	4	2	1	1	False	28	48	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Kleinhansl	0	6	-	2	20	10	2	3	False	74	3	M	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	2	33	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	4
👤 Ivan Prtajin	0	-	-	-	9	3	1	-	False	74	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jan Elvedi	0	-	2	-	5	2	-	-	False	45	33	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Krahl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Robinson	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	45	37	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Sirch	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	2	False	90	31	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	1	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marlon Ritter	1	-	2	-	4	1	1	-	True	90	7	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	30	3	36	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Maxwell Gyamfi	1	-	-	-	8	5	1	1	False	90	4	D	5	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mika Haas	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	16	22	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Naatan Skyttä	1	-	1	-	6	1	1	-	False	90	15	M	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Richmond Tachie	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semih Şahin	0	-	-	-	13	7	3	1	False	83	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	5
👤 Simon Simoni	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	5.2	False	0	6	2	-	-	15	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Raschl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Hertha BSC and 1. FC Kaiserslautern

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC	6-1	4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6-1	3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Hertha BSC

100.0%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.9%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

30.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Hertha BSC 1.78

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.42

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Hertha BSC

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)