SC Freiburg vs SV Darmstadt 98

DFB Pokal

SV Darmstadt 98

42' V. Grifo
69' L. Holer

03 Dec 2025

18:00

Europa-Park Stadion

Score Summary

SC Freiburg

2 0

FT HT 1–0

SV Darmstadt 98

V. Grifo 42'
L. Holer 69'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

SC Freiburg 1536 1547 ▲ 10

51% Win

SV Darmstadt 98 1546 1535 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

51% Win

SC Freiburg 0.23 0.12 ▼ -0.11

33% Win

SV Darmstadt 98 0.24 -0.03 ▼ -0.27

Top Performers

Top Rated

Florian Müller

SC Freiburg

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Vincenzo Grifo

SC Freiburg

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Luca Marseiler

SV Darmstadt 98

6.6

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jan-Niklas Beste

SC Freiburg

6.9

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Freiburg 40% SV Darmstadt 98 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

11 Shots 11

4 On Target 6

Form Context

SC Freiburg

W W W D L

SV Darmstadt 98

W W L

Smart Insight

SV Darmstadt 98 carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors SC Freiburg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.2%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 28.0%

Expected Goals 1.83 - 1.37

Qualification %

SC Freiburg 100.0%

SV Darmstadt 98 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg	2-0	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		8	D W W D

52 Possession 48

4 Shots 6

11 Shots 11

2 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 6

11 Total Shots 11

52 Ball Possession 48

394 Passes Accurate 363

456 Total Passes 424

86% Passes % 86%

2 Blocked Shots 1

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

6 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 1

0 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 9

6 Shots Insidebox 7

5 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Ogbus	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Günter	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	30	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	30	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Derry Scherhant	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	7	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	21	G	8.2	False	0	6	-	-	18	-	26	-	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	31	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	2	1	-	12	6	-	-	False	64	19	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Johan Manzambi	2	1	1	10	7	2	2	False	85	44	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	43	-	47	-	0	-	0	1	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Junior Adamu	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	20	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	1	2	-	2	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Höler	-	-	-	8	4	2	1	False	89	9	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	1	9	-	13	-	0	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Lukas Kübler	-	1	-	9	5	1	-	False	90	17	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	29	-	34	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Matthias Ginter	-	-	-	11	7	-	1	False	90	28	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	65	-	75	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Max Rosenfelder	1	-	1	12	8	-	1	False	90	37	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	52	-	58	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	8	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	55	2	61	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Nicolas Höfler	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	-	1	-	4	3	-	-	False	26	6	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Philipp Treu	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	26	29	D	7.6	True	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	0	-	0	1	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	89	32	M	7.6	False	1	-	1	-	42	1	46	-	1	-	1	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Yuito Suzuki	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	64	14	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	26	3	32	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-

SV Darmstadt 98 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Vukotić	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Brunst	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bartosz Białek	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	27	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Holland	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	32	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Fynn Lakenmacher	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	1	19	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Akiyama	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	89	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Isac Lidberg	0	0	2	-	1	15	6	1	-	False	90	7	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	1	21	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Kai Klefisch	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	17	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Killian Corredor	0	0	1	-	-	8	2	-	1	False	90	34	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Klassen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Marseiler	0	0	1	-	-	9	3	1	1	False	84	8	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	5	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Marcel Schuhen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6	False	0	2	2	-	-	31	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Richter	0	0	2	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	68	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Matej Maglica	1	2	1	-	-	12	8	1	-	False	88	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	55	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	2
👤 Matondo-Merveille Papela	0	0	2	2	2	11	4	1	1	False	89	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Matthias Bader	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	68	26	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Patric Pfeiffer	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	90	6	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	1	68	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Paul Will	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	28	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio López	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	22	2	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	24	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yosuke Furukawa	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: SC Freiburg and SV Darmstadt 98

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg	2-0	5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98	2-0	3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

SC Freiburg

100.0%

SV Darmstadt 98

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.2%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

28.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 1.83

SV Darmstadt 98 1.37

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Freiburg

SV Darmstadt 98

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)